USM Alger vs Saoura – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
04/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Algeria Cup - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Ball possession
59%41%
Total shots
105
Shots on target
42
Corner kicks
88
Total shots
105
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
63
Corner kicks
88

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 36', 1 - 0, Redouani S. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


USM Alger
45.7%
Draw
31.5%
Saoura
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.6% 28.9% 20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9% 31.3% 18.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • USM Alger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • Saoura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for USM Alger than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for USM Alger, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saoura than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • USM Alger - Saoura Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2
    (1.77)
    2.91
    (3.1)
    4.03
    (4.36)
    9.1%
    (11.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for USM Alger - Saoura?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. USM Alger will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, USM Alger won 1.
    • USM Alger has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Saoura is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, USM Alger is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, USM Alger won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 25:27. (average 1.3:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, USM Alger won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:9. (average 1.9:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between USM Alger - Saoura were as follows:
    21.02.2026 USM Alger - Saoura 1:2
    20.09.2025 Saoura - USM Alger 1:0
    26.04.2025 Saoura - USM Alger 2:1
    16.11.2024 USM Alger - Saoura 2:0
    07.06.2024 Saoura - USM Alger 2:1
    Latest results of USM Alger
    27.02.2026 El Bayadh - USM Alger 0:0
    21.02.2026 USM Alger - Saoura 1:2
    14.02.2026 USM Alger - Olympic Safi 0:0
    08.02.2026 San-Pédro - USM Alger 2:3
    01.02.2026 Djoliba - USM Alger 0:0
    Latest results of Saoura
    27.02.2026 Saoura - Ben Aknoun 1:0
    21.02.2026 USM Alger - Saoura 1:2
    08.02.2026 ASO Chlef - Saoura 0:1
    04.02.2026 Saoura - ES Sétif 1:0
    24.01.2026 Rouissat - Saoura 1:0
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/32-finals
    1CA BatnaAnnaba2 : 1
    2KoleaBordj Menail1 : 0
    3ParadouAdrar3 : 0
    4USF ConstantineMetlili Chaamba4 : 2
    5FrendaCB Mila2 : 1
    6ASO ChlefSidi Abdelmoumen1 : 0
    7MB BarikaMarsa El Hadjadj1 : 0
    8SaidaTelaghema3 : 0
    9MO BejaiaHarrach1 : 2
    10KabylieMB Hassi Messaoud7 : 0
    11MagraUSM Alger0 : 1
    12MO ConstantineCRB Kais3 : 1
    13Sidi Ali BoussidiArba0 : 1
    14OranMostaganem1 : 2
    15BethiouaSaoura0 : 1
    16KhroubOlympique Akbou2 : 0
    17ConstantineEl Biar4 : 1
    18TemouchentHamaissa1 : 0
    19Bechar DjedidGC Mascara4 : 3
    20ES SetifBeni Thamou1 : 0
    21TessalaBejaia0 : 1
    22Widad Adabi de BoufarikNaama3 : 0
    23Beni OulbaneAmal Bou Saada0 : 1
    24Hussein DeySedrata3 : 0
    25Wifaq Ain BenianSC Mecheria2 : 1
    26CR BelouizdadOued Fodda2 : 1
    27Ain KerchaIllizi1 : 0
    28CR Beni ThourASM Oran1 : 2
    29MC AlgerEl Bayadh1 : 0
    30KhenchelaRouisset1 : 0
    31Ben AknounRA Ain Defla2 : 0
    32Bir El AterKadiria2 : 0

    1/16-finals
    1CA BatnaKolea5 : 1
    2ParadouUSF Constantine2 : 0
    3FrendaASO Chlef0 : 1
    4MB BarikaSaida1 : 2
    5HarrachKabylie1 : 0
    6USM AlgerMO Constantine3 : 0
    7ArbaMostaganem0 : 1
    8SaouraKhroub2 : 0
    9ConstantineTemouchent3 : 0
    10Bechar DjedidES Setif0 : 4
    11BejaiaWidad Adabi de Boufarik4 : 1
    12Amal Bou SaadaHussein Dey0 : 1
    13Wifaq Ain BenianCR Belouizdad1 : 5
    14Ain KerchaASM Oran0 : 2
    15MC AlgerKhenchela2 : 1
    16Ben AknounBir El Ater2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1CA BatnaParadou4 : 3
    2ASO ChlefSaida0 : 1
    3HarrachUSM Alger2 : 3
    4MostaganemSaoura0 : 2
    5ConstantineES Setif2 : 1
    6BejaiaHussein Dey3 : 0
    7CR BelouizdadASM Oran3 : 0
    8MC AlgerBen Aknoun1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1CA BatnaSaida1 : 0
    2USM AlgerSaoura1 : 0
    3ConstantineBejaia1 : 0
    4CR BelouizdadMC Alger3 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1CA BatnaUSM Alger
    2ConstantineCR Belouizdad

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2