Belleville Senators vs Springfield Thunderbirds – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:5
21/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaFlohockey

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2622
Shooting PCT
11.54% (3/26)22.73% (5/22)
Goalkeeper Saves
1723
Saves PCT
77.27% (17/22)88.46% (23/26)
Penalties
77
PIM
1717
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
02
Power-play PCT
0% (0/7)0% (0/7)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (7/7)100% (7/7)
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 3)
  • 01:48, 0 - 1, Kaskimaki A. (G),
  • 05:32, 0 - 2, Peterson D. (G),
  • 07:48, 1 - 2, Boucher T. (G), Clarke G. (A),
  • 16:24, 1 - 3, Pekarcik J. (G), Dean Z. (A), Gauthier J. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (1 - 2)
  • 00:55, 2 - 3, Bolduc S. (G),
  • 01:50, 2 - 4, Peterson D. (G),
  • 05:42, 2 - 5, Dube D. (G), Wagner C. (A),
  • 3rd Period (1 - 0)
  • 17:45, 3 - 5, Yakemchuk C. (G), Daoust P. (A), Bourgault X. (A2)

Chances of winning


Belleville Senators
41.5%
Draw
21.9%
Springfield Thunderbirds
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.4% 24.1% 32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2% 25.4% 34.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Belleville Senators has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Springfield Thunderbirds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belleville Senators than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Springfield Thunderbirds than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • Belleville Senators - Springfield Thunderbirds Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.24
    (2.11)
    4.23
    (3.8)
    2.54
    (2.82)
    7.7%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.25
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Belleville won 4.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Springfield may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • We predict that Belleville will win today's game, with odds of 2.15.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Belleville won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 51:69. (average 2.6:3.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Belleville won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:27. (average 2.9:3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Belleville Senators - Springfield Thunderbirds were as follows:
    24.01.2026 Springfield Thunderbirds - Belleville Senators 0:1
    11.04.2025 Springfield Thunderbirds - Belleville Senators 2:4
    21.12.2024 Belleville Senators - Springfield Thunderbirds 5:2
    05.04.2024 Belleville Senators - Springfield Thunderbirds 3:0
    03.11.2023 Springfield Thunderbirds - Belleville Senators 6:3
    AHL Table
    2025/26

    Atlantic Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Providence Bruins ✔ 633712113215:14099
    2Wilkes-Barre/Scranton ✔ 64346816207:16988
    3Charlotte Checkers64308521212:17481
    4Hershey Bears64226927185:20765
    5Bridgeport Islanders64226828190:19964
    6Lehigh Valley Phantoms64199630191:21662
    7Springfield Thunderbirds63233829175:21760
    8Hartford Wolf Pack63204732169:21655


    Central Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Grand Rapids Griffins ✔ 64388513217:13797
    2Chicago Wolves622281319193:19873
    3Texas Stars63239427193:20468
    4Manitoba Moose62264626152:17866
    5Milwaukee Admirals621711727178:18363
    6Rockford IceHogs63187533174:20955
    7Iowa Wild61166831149:19152


    Pacific Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Ontario Reign65329519211:17787
    2Colorado Eagles632981016210:16684
    3San Jose Barracuda62299420217:18780
    4Bakersfield Condors632681019213:19878
    5Henderson Silver Knights642941120230:20177
    6Coachella Valley Firebirds622412521210:18977
    7San Diego Gulls632361222191:19570
    8Tucson Roadrunners631812924202:21169
    9Calgary Wranglers651191431178:24554
    10Abbotsford Canucks65158636151:22052


    North Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Laval Rocket ✔ 662811720211:17585
    2Syracuse Crunch ✔ 64363520214:16483
    3Toronto Marlies642571022206:20074
    4Cleveland Monsters642013724189:19873
    5Rochester Americans61216925188:19363
    6Belleville Senators65196931203:23459
    7Utica Comets63204930168:20157

          Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Providence Bruins is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Wilkes-Barre/Scranton is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Grand Rapids Griffins is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Laval Rocket is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Syracuse Crunch is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )