Racing vs River Plate – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional
Result
3:2
24/11/2025 at 17:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Tello F. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItalyComo TV, Sportitalia
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
portugalPortugalSport TV1
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+, #Vamos
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 1
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesDubai Sports 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomPremier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.250.55
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
71% (248/348)73% (244/333)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.250.55
xG on target (xGOT)
2.151.15
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
85
Shots outside the Box
49
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
2619
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
819
Passes
71% (248/348)73% (244/333)
Long passes
39% (34/88)29% (19/65)
Passes in final third
55% (71/129)58% (54/93)
Crosses
18% (6/33)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.890.55
Throw-ins
2922
Fouls
198
Tackles
67% (10/15)75% (9/12)
Duels won
5148
Clearances
2336
Interceptions
119
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
1.152.15
Goals prevented
-0.850.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Solari S. ⚽, Rojas G. (A),
  • 31', Adrian Martinez 🟨,
  • 40', Fernandez N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 55', Rivero L. 🟨,
  • 55', Castano K. ↓, Giuliano Galoppo ↑,
  • 56', Salas M. ↓, Quintero J. ↑,
  • 56', Acosta T. ↓, Subiabre I. ↑,
  • 62', 1 - 1, Subiabre I. ⚽, Driussi S. (A),
  • 64', 1 - 2, Quintero J. ⚽,
  • 66', Conechny T. ↓, Vergara D. ↑,
  • 70', Almendra A. E. ↓, Fernandez A. ↑,
  • 72', Fernandez N. ↓, Galarza M. ↑,
  • 72', Perez E. ↓, Portillo J. ↑,
  • 73', 2 - 2, Martinez Quarta L. (Own goal),
  • 90+3', 3 - 2, Martirena Torres G. N. ⚽,
  • 90+5', Solari S. ↓, Di Cesare M. ↑,
  • 90+5', Martirena Torres G. N. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Racing
34.5%		Draw
31.4%		River Plate
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.6% 29.2% 30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42% 28.2% 29.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Racing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Racing's form might have worsened.
  • River Plate has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Racing, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
    •

    Racing - River Plate Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.73 ↑
    (2.3)    		 3.03 ↓
    (3.2)    		 2.82 ↓
    (3.1)    		 5.1%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Racing - River Plate?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). River Plate will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for River Plate: 13.8% – 69.6%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • 1X2, 1st Half - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
    • AH -0.25 - River Plate (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - River Plate (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - River Plate (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): River Plate will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. River Plate (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 1.
    • Recent performances by Racing have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • River Plate is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, River Plate has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Racing won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:16. (average 0.7:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Racing - River Plate were as follows:
    02.10.2025 Racing - River Plate 0:1
    14.12.2024 Racing - River Plate 1:0
    28.07.2023 River Plate - Racing 2:1
    23.10.2022 Racing - River Plate 1:2
    Latest results of Racing
    16.11.2025 Newells Old Boys - Racing 0:1 ✺
    08.11.2025 Racing - Defensa y Justicia 1:0 ✺
    03.11.2025 Central Córdoba - Racing 0:0 ✺
    29.10.2025 Racing - Flamengo 0:0 ✺
    22.10.2025 Flamengo - Racing 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of River Plate
    16.11.2025 Vélez Sársfield - River Plate 0:0 ✺
    09.11.2025 Boca Juniors - River Plate 2:0 ✺
    02.11.2025 River Plate - Gimnasia La Plata 0:1 ✺
    24.10.2025 Independiente Rivadavia - River Plate 1:0 ✺
    18.10.2025 Talleres de Córdoba - River Plate 0:2 ✺
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield1164112:6622
    2Defensa y Justicia1147015:8719
    3Lanus1053216:12418
    4Estudiantes L.P105329:5418
    5Talleres Cordoba1153312:10218
    6Boca Juniors1145213:7617
    7Union de Santa Fe1144316:12416
    8Independiente1135317:15214
    9Platense113536:7-114
    10San Lorenzo1034310:11-113
    11Central Cordoba103345:7-212
    12Instituto1132611:15-411
    13Gimnasia Mendoza112366:13-79
    14Dep. Riestra100642:6-46
    15Newells Old Boys111377:22-156


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia1172218:12623
    2River Plate1162314:9520
    3Belgrano1154212:9319
    4Racing Club1153315:10518
    5Rosario Central1153312:9318
    6Tigre1145216:10617
    7Barracas Central1043310:9115
    8Argentinos Jrs93516:4214
    9Gimnasia L.P1142513:15-214
    10Huracan103439:9013
    11Banfield1141612:13-113
    12Sarmiento Junin114168:11-313
    13Atl. Tucuman1123612:16-49
    14Aldosivi100553:11-85
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto111193:17-144

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