Result
0:4
21/01/2026 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campionato Sammarinese - Round 17
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 36', 0 - 1, Sirri A. ⚽, Benedettini F. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 50', 0 - 2, Benedettini F. ⚽,
- 73', 0 - 3, Pesaresi F. ⚽, Sami B. (A),
- 84', 0 - 4, Bernardi T. L. ⚽,
Chances of winning
San Giovanni 8.4% | Draw 17.9% | Tre Fiori 73.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Giovanni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Tre Fiori has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tre Fiori's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Giovanni than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tre Fiori than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
San Giovanni - Tre Fiori Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
10.87 ↑ (7) |
5.11 ↑ (4.75) |
1.24 ↓ (1.41) |
9.6% (6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Giovanni won 1.
- San Giovanni is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Tre Fiori is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Recently, San Giovanni has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Tre Fiori is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, San Giovanni won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 9:24. (average 0.8:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, San Giovanni won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 0.5:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has San Giovanni won against Tre Fiori?
San Giovanni has won 1 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tre Fiori won against San Giovanni?
Tre Fiori has won 8 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between San Giovanni - Tre Fiori were as follows:
14.09.2025
Tre Fiori
-
San Giovanni
4:0
13.05.2025
Tre Fiori
-
San Giovanni
1:1
10.05.2025
San Giovanni
-
Tre Fiori
1:2
26.04.2025
Tre Fiori
-
San Giovanni
1:4
12.01.2025
San Giovanni
-
Tre Fiori
0:2
Latest results of San Giovanni
Latest results of Tre Fiori
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tre Fiori | 26 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 55:12 | 43 | 63 |
| 2 | Virtus | 26 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 56:17 | 39 | 62 |
| 3 | Tre Penne | 26 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 57:15 | 42 | 60 |
| 4 | Folgore | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 55:28 | 27 | 49 |
| 5 | La Fiorita | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 55:22 | 33 | 47 |
| 6 | Domagnano | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 52:28 | 24 | 42 |
| 7 | Fiorentino | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 28:37 | -9 | 40 |
| 8 | Cosmos | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 27:19 | 8 | 38 |
| 9 | Juvenes/Dogana | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 29:33 | -4 | 32 |
| 10 | Libertas | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 30:48 | -18 | 32 |
| 11 | San Giovanni | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 23:34 | -11 | 28 |
| 12 | Pennarossa | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 25:51 | -26 | 24 |
| 13 | Faetano | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 20:50 | -30 | 19 |
| 14 | San Marino Academy U22 | 26 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22:52 | -30 | 15 |
| 15 | Cailungo | 26 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 19:56 | -37 | 10 |
| 16 | Murata | 26 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 16:67 | -51 | -2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)