Cherno More Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
22/11/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • efbet League - Round 16
  • Referee: Ginchev G. (Bul)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 8
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 5

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1316
Shots on target
48
Corner Kicks
106
Yellow Cards
04
Total shots
1316
Shots on target
48
Shots off target
98
Corner Kicks
106
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1513
Throw-ins
3827
Fouls
1114

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 19', 0 - 1, Bidounga R. ,
  • 43', Katsarov B. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Galchev P. , Ali D. ,
  • 45+5', Bidounga R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Luann , Dost E. ,
  • 59', Lyaskov A. 🟨,
  • 59', Zlatev N. , Calcan A. ,
  • 59', Gustavo Franca , Phellipe ,
  • 61', Delev S. , Minchev G. ,
  • 61', Caue Caruzo , Diego Raposo ,
  • 64', Joao Pedro , Milushev M. ,
  • 74', Panayotov V. , Lazarov G. ,
  • 75', Stanoev K. , Octavio ,
  • 87', Daskalov R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cherno More Varna
55.7%
Draw
25.8%
Lokomotiv Sofia
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.9% 25.7% 15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5% 25% 15%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cherno More Varna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Lokomotiv Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cherno More Varna than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Sofia than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Cherno More Varna - Lokomotiv Sofia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (1.57)
    3.57
    (3.6)
    5.13
    (6)
    6.9%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Cherno More Varna - Lokomotiv Sofia?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Cherno More (2.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Cherno More Varna will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 68.36%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cherno More Varna will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Cherno More (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: ) and 11 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cherno More won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, Cherno More is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Cherno More won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:12. (average 1.5:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cherno More won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:7. (average 1.9:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cherno More Varna - Lokomotiv Sofia were as follows:
    18.07.2025 Lokomotiv Sofia - Cherno More Varna 1:1
    03.12.2024 Cherno More Varna - Lokomotiv Sofia 4:0
    04.08.2024 Lokomotiv Sofia - Cherno More Varna 2:1
    04.04.2024 Cherno More Varna - Lokomotiv Sofia 3:0
    01.10.2023 Lokomotiv Sofia - Cherno More Varna 0:0
    Latest results of Cherno More Varna
    Latest results of Lokomotiv Sofia
    Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Levski Sofia ✔ 29223463:214269
    2Ludogorets ✔ 29179357:193860
    3CSKA Sofia ✔ 29167642:222055
    4CSKA 1948 Sofia ✔ 28165745:311453
    5Lok. Plovdiv ✔ 291112630:33-345
    6Cherno More ✔ 291111733:221144
    7Arda291181032:27541
    8Slavia Sofia281081035:31438
    9Lok. Sofia299101038:36237
    10Botev Plovdiv291071237:37037
    11Botev Vratsa28811921:23-235
    12Dobrudzha ✔ 28751623:39-1626
    13Spartak Varna ✔ 284111324:50-2623
    14Beroe ✔ 294101519:44-2522
    15Septemvri Sofia ✔ 28641823:57-3422
    16Montana ✔ 29371915:45-3016

          Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: )
          efbet League (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Levski Sofia is Qualified for efbet League (Championship Group )
    Ludogorets is Qualified for efbet League (Championship Group )
    CSKA Sofia is Qualified for efbet League (Championship Group )
    CSKA 1948 Sofia is Qualified for efbet League (Championship Group )
    Lok. Plovdiv is Qualified for efbet League (Conference League Group )
    Cherno More is Qualified for efbet League (Conference League Group )
    Dobrudzha is efbet League (Relegation Group )
    Spartak Varna is efbet League (Relegation Group )
    Beroe is efbet League (Relegation Group )
    Septemvri Sofia is efbet League (Relegation Group )
    Montana is efbet League (Relegation Group )