Tre Penne vs La Fiorita – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
31/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Campionato Sammarinese - Round 19

Match Stats

Red cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 77', Grandoni A. 🟥,
  • 79', 1 - 0, Errico S. ,
  • 90+5', 2 - 0, Bartoli T. ,

Chances of winning


Tre Penne
34.7%
Draw
31.5%
La Fiorita
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34% 27.6% 38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7% 28.7% 39.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tre Penne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • La Fiorita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tre Penne than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Fiorita than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that La Fiorita could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Tre Penne - La Fiorita Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.6
    (2.67)
    2.86
    (3.29)
    2.67
    (2.36)
    10.9%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Tre Penne - La Fiorita?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - La Fiorita (1.88) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. La Fiorita (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tre Penne won 0.
    • Tre Penne is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • La Fiorita is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Tre Penne won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 16:24. (average 1.1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tre Penne won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tre Penne - La Fiorita were as follows:
    28.09.2025 La Fiorita - Tre Penne 1:1
    19.01.2025 La Fiorita - Tre Penne 2:0
    01.09.2024 Tre Penne - La Fiorita 1:1
    06.03.2024 La Fiorita - Tre Penne 4:1
    17.12.2023 Tre Penne - La Fiorita 1:2
    Latest results of Tre Penne
    20.01.2026 Tre Penne - Faetano 3:0
    17.01.2026 Fiorentino - Tre Penne 0:6
    21.12.2025 Tre Penne - AC Libertas 5:0
    14.12.2025 Cailungo - Tre Penne 0:2
    Latest results of La Fiorita
    24.01.2026 Murata - La Fiorita 0:2
    18.01.2026 La Fiorita - Virtus 1:1
    21.12.2025 Cosmos - La Fiorita 0:1
    14.12.2025 La Fiorita - Domagnano 1:1
    San Marino Campionato Sammarinese Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tre Fiori28216161:124969
    2Virtus28206261:194266
    3Tre Penne28197264:174764
    4La Fiorita ✔ 281511259:233651
    5Folgore ✔ 28149557:302751
    6Domagnano ✔ 28137854:292546
    7Fiorentino281341132:39-743
    8Cosmos28109927:20739
    9Libertas28981131:51-2035
    10Juvenes/Dogana28891131:36-533
    11San Giovanni287101124:37-1331
    12Pennarossa28861428:52-2430
    13Faetano28641822:52-3022
    14San Marino Academy U2228361922:56-3415
    15Cailungo28242221:64-4310
    16Murata28142317:74-57-2

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    La Fiorita is Qualified for Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Folgore is Qualified for Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Domagnano is Qualified for Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs Quarter~finals)