Result
4:5 OT
20/01/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (2 - 1)
- 01:48, 1 - 0, Filippenko S. (G),
- 03:38, 2 - 0, Gusseinov M. (G), Atakhanov D. (A), Petrosyan S. (A2)
- 13:39, 2 - 1, Barbashev S. (G), Kuzmenko Y. (A), Ponomaryov K. (A2)
- 2nd Period (1 - 2)
- 03:03, 2 - 2, Karaban D. (G), Mikhaylov E. (A), Fazleyev R. (A2)
- 10:29, 2 - 3, Likhotnikov A. (G), Fazleyev R. (A), Karaban D. (A2)
- 18:13, 3 - 3, Mashinets S. (G), Gusseinov M. (A),
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 04:34, 3 - 4, Mikhaylov E. (G), Fazleyev R. (A),
- 17:49, 4 - 4, Akpirganov A. (G), Ananichev Al. (A), Valiyev R. (A2)
- Overtime (0 - 1)
- 01:41, 4 - 5, Barbashev S. (G), Kuzmenko Y. (A), Mikhaylov E. (A2)
Chances of winning
Almaty 15.7% | Draw 16.8% | Saryarka 67.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Almaty has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Saryarka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almaty than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saryarka than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Almaty - Saryarka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
5.76 ↑ (5.58) |
5.39 ↓ (6.29) |
1.34 (1.34) |
10.7% (8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
Preview Facts
- Saryarka is Qualified for Championship (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almaty won 1.
- Almaty is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Saryarka has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Almaty may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Almaty has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Saryarka is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Almaty won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 52:59. (average 2.6:3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Almaty won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:28. (average 2:2.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Almaty won against Saryarka?
Almaty has won 9 of their last 25 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Saryarka won against Almaty?
Saryarka has won 16 of their last 25 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Almaty - Saryarka were as follows:
19.01.2026
Almaty
-
Saryarka
1:4
19.12.2025
Almaty
-
Saryarka
2:3
18.12.2025
Almaty
-
Saryarka
0:2
06.11.2025
Saryarka
-
Almaty
3:4
05.11.2025
Saryarka
-
Almaty
4:1
Latest results of Saryarka
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Nomad Astana (1) | Almaty (8) | 4 : 3 |
| 2 | Kokshetau (4) | Kulager (5) | 1 : 4 |
| 3 | Torpedo (2) | Beibarys Atyrau (7) | 4 : 0 |
| 4 | Karaganda (3) | Gornyak Rudny (6) | 4 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Nomad Astana (1) | Kulager (5) | |
| 2 | Torpedo (2) | Karaganda (3) | |
Final