Alianza Atlético vs Sporting Cristal: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 Alianza Atlético - Sporting Cristal
Result
1:0
19/04/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 9
Alianza Atlético - Sporting Cristal - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.081.22
Ball Possession
32%68%
Total shots
912
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
23
Passes
65% (126/193)84% (345/412)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
2.081.22
xG on target (xGOT)
1.290.09
Total shots
912
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
58
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
68
Shots outside the Box
34
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
1616
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
919
Passes
65% (126/193)84% (345/412)
Long passes
38% (22/58)62% (42/68)
Passes in final third
51% (39/76)69% (62/90)
Crosses
33% (5/15)16% (4/25)
Expected assists (xA)
1.250.86
Fouls
199
Tackles
79% (15/19)47% (7/15)
Duels won
5267
Clearances Total
2913
Interceptions
510
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.091.29
Goals prevented
0.090.29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 39', Tavara M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Pretell J. , Cauteruccio M. ,
  • 50', 1 - 0, Graneros A. (Pen),
  • 62', Castro M. , Cabellos C. ,
  • 64', Perleche E. 🟨,
  • 68', Avila I. , Sosa M. ,
  • 69', Perleche E. , Cossio A. ,
  • 69', Castro R. , Lupu H. ,
  • 73', 🟨,
  • 79', Fernandez S. , Olmedo L. ,
  • 79', Perez M. , Larios Saavedra G. A. ,
  • 85', Lutiger R. , Sosa L. ,
  • 85', Tavara M. , Alarcon J. ,
  • 85', Benincasa H. , Guzman P. ,
  • 88', Gonzales C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Alianza Atlético
29.8%
Draw
27.4%
Sporting Cristal
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.1% 28.8% 42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7% 29.2% 42.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alianza Atlético has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • Sporting Cristal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Alianza Atlético - Sporting Cristal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.1
    (3.24)
    3.38
    (3.28)
    2.2
    (2.24)
    7.3%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Alianza Atlético won 1.
    • Alianza Atlético is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Sporting Cristal is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Alianza Atlético could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • There will not play in Alianza Atlético: Vilchez Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Sporting Cristal: Cazonatti G. (Knee Injury) Iberico L. (Injury) Pacheco F. (Muscle Injury) Romero F. (Yellow Cards) Yotun Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sporting Cristal: Cauteruccio M. (Back Injury)
    • Last 16 head-to-head matches Alianza Atlético won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 9:41 (average 0.6:2.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Alianza Atlético won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4:15 (average 0.5:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Atlético - Sporting Cristal were as follows:
    19.10.2024 Alianza Atlético - Sporting Cristal 1:0
    05.05.2024 Sporting Cristal - Alianza Atlético 2:1
    29.10.2023 Sporting Cristal - Alianza Atlético 3:0
    11.06.2023 Alianza Atlético - Sporting Cristal 0:0
    23.10.2022 Alianza Atlético - Sporting Cristal 0:2
    Latest results of Alianza Atlético
    Latest results of Sporting Cristal
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes18123338:122639
    2Alianza Lima18114323:111237
    3Cusco18104434:201434
    4Alianza Atl18111628:181034
    5Sporting Cristal18102631:24732
    6FBC Melgar1887328:20831
    7Sport Huancayo1893623:21230
    8Deportivo Garcilaso1883728:19927
    9AD Tarma1866624:30-624
    10Cienciano1858529:25423
    11Los Chankas1858524:25-123
    12Grau1857623:24-122
    13Sport Boys1855826:28-220
    14Juan Pablo II1854920:28-819
    15Cajamarca1854917:34-1719
    16Binacional1846820:33-1318
    17Ayacucho18431114:27-1315
    18Comerciantes Unidos18251117:31-1411
    19Alianza Huanuco18251116:33-1711

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