Result
3:1
07/03/2026 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 6
- Referee: Ureta D. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 1.13 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (477/530) | 77% (195/252) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 1.13 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.77 | 0.74 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (477/530) | 77% (195/252) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 65% (30/46) | 53% (29/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (69/92) | 61% (45/74) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.58 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (8/9) | 80% (4/5) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 26 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.74 | 2.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.26 | -0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 10', Villegas J. C. 🟨,
- 20', 1 - 0, Iberico L. ⚽, Sosa L. (A),
- 37', 2 - 0, Avila I. ⚽, Wisdom I. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Robaldo V. ↓, Larios Saavedra G. A. ↑,
- 46', Valladolid C. ↓, Coronel F. ↑,
- 54', Villegas J. C. 🟨,
- 57', Yotun Y. 🟨,
- 57', Suarez R. 🟨,
- 58', Diaz G. ↓, Lujan J. ↑,
- 67', Fernandez S. ↓, Lupu H. ↑,
- 72', Gonzales C. ↓, Benavente C. ↑,
- 73', Yotun Y. ↓, Tavara M. ↑,
- 79', Penilla C. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
- 81', Avila I. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
- 81', Diaz L. ↓, Posito Olazabal A. J. ↑,
- 82', 2 - 1, Coronel F. ⚽, Munoz A. (A),
- 85', Cazonatti G. ↓, Gabriel ↑,
- 89', Suarez R. 🟨,
- 90+2', Munoz A. 🟨,
- 90+6', 3 - 1, Wisdom I. ⚽,
- 90+9', Tavara M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sporting Cristal
52.1% | Draw
27.7% | Alianza Atlético
20.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sporting Cristal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sporting Cristal's form might have worsened.Alianza Atlético has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alianza Atlético's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Cristal than the current prediction. (+14.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sporting Cristal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alianza Atlético, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sporting Cristal - Alianza Atlético Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.78 ↑
(1.43) |
3.36 ↓
(4.29) |
4.58 ↓
(7.19) |
7.8%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sporting Cristal - Alianza Atlético?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Sporting Cristal will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Alianza Atlético will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Alianza Atlético (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting Cristal won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Alianza Atlético may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Sporting Cristal is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Sporting Cristal: Abram L.
(Muscle Injury)
Solis R.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Sporting Cristal won 13 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 41:10. (average 2.3:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sporting Cristal won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 26:5. (average 2.9:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Cristal won against Alianza Atlético?
Sporting Cristal has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Atlético won against Sporting Cristal?
Alianza Atlético has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Cristal - Alianza Atlético were as follows:
17.09.2025
Sporting Cristal
-
Alianza Atlético
0:0
19.04.2025
Alianza Atlético
-
Sporting Cristal
1:0
19.10.2024
Alianza Atlético
-
Sporting Cristal
1:0
05.05.2024
Sporting Cristal
-
Alianza Atlético
2:1
29.10.2023
Sporting Cristal
-
Alianza Atlético
3:0
Latest results of Sporting Cristal
Latest results of Alianza Atlético
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Los Chankas | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14:8 | 6 | 17 |
| 2 | Alianza Lima | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 17 |
| 3 | U. de Deportes | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 14 |
| 4 | Cienciano | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 13 |
| 5 | Cajamarca | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 6 | Sporting Cristal | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 11 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 | Comerciantes Unidos | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Juan Pablo II | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13:18 | -5 | 10 |
| 10 | Alianza Atl | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 | AD Tarma | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 | Sport Huancayo | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:9 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 | Cusco | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 | Moquegua | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5:12 | -7 | 7 |
| 15 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 | FC Cajamarca | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 5 |
| 17 | Grau | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 5 |
| 18 | Sport Boys | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
