Result
1:2
04/05/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga Women - Round 21
- Referee: Wolf L. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | DAZN |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch, Magenta Sport |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 1.32 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (285/387) | 74% (283/381) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 1.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (285/387) | 74% (283/381) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (16/37) | 45% (25/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 47% (39/83) | 49% (45/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.70 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 43 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (14/18) | 71% (17/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 22 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.99 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.62 | -0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 29', 0 - 1, Billa N. ⚽,
- 40', Bohnen A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Schmidt L. 🟨,
- 46', Wichmann R. ↓, Muhlhaus L. ↑,
- 46', Arfaoui A. ↓, Beck S. ↑,
- 46', Sternad M. ↓, Wieder V. ↑,
- 66', Matheis S. ↓, Papai E. ↑,
- 72', Billa N. ↓, Schmidt L. ↑,
- 72', Wiankowska M. ↓, Donhauser L. ↑,
- 72', Achcinska A. ↓, Cordes L. ↑,
- 74', Walkling R. ↓, Hausicke L. ↑,
- 75', 1 - 1, Wieder V. ⚽,
- 87', Bienz A. ↓, Schiffarth J. ↑,
- 88', Mahmoud T. 🟨,
- 89', 1 - 2, Gerhardt A. ⚽,
- 90+3', Schiffarth J. 🟨,
- 90+5', Feiersinger L. ↓, Degen C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Werder Bremen
42.9% | Draw
26.7% | Köln
30.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Werder Bremen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Werder Bremen's form might have worsened.Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Köln's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (+20.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Werder Bremen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Köln than the current prediction. (-12.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Köln, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Werder Bremen - Köln Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.15 ↑
(1.49) |
3.45 ↓
(4.45) |
3.05 ↓
(5.07) |
8.3%
(9.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Werder won 3.
- Werder has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Köln has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Werder may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Werder is a strong favorite.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Werder won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 27:10. (average 2.5:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Werder won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:2. (average 3.4:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Werder Bremen won against Köln?
Werder Bremen has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Köln won against Werder Bremen?
Köln has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Werder Bremen - Köln were as follows:
18.11.2024
Köln
-
Werder Bremen
1:4
10.03.2024
Köln
-
Werder Bremen
2:1
14.10.2023
Werder Bremen
-
Köln
3:0
24.03.2023
Werder Bremen
-
Köln
1:0
23.10.2022
Köln
-
Werder Bremen
2:0
Latest results of Werder Bremen
German Bundesliga Women Table
2024/25 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich W | 22 | 19 | 2 | 1 | 56:13 | 43 | 59 |
| 2 | Wolfsburg W | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 57:18 | 39 | 51 |
| 3 | Eintracht Frankfurt W | 22 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 68:22 | 46 | 50 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen W | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 38:21 | 17 | 43 |
| 5 | Freiburg W | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 34:31 | 3 | 38 |
| 6 | Hoffenheim W | 22 | 12 | 0 | 10 | 49:30 | 19 | 36 |
| 7 | Werder Bremen W | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 28:39 | -11 | 29 |
| 8 | RB Leipzig W | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 30:40 | -10 | 27 |
| 9 | SGS Essen W | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 21:30 | -9 | 20 |
| 10 | Koln W | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 18:51 | -33 | 14 |
| 11 | Jena W | 22 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 7:43 | -36 | 10 |
| 12 | Potsdam W | 22 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 5:73 | -68 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ First stage: )
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga Women
