Result
 
                    0:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        09/08/2025 at  14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 5
 
                                                - Referee: Palomino M. (Per)
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
 |  | 
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz | 
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play | 
 Usa | Fanatiz | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.30 | 0.11 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 36% | 64% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 1 | 3 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 0 | 2 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 63% (29/46) | 79% (64/81) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 2 | 4 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.30 | 0.11 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.00 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 1 | 3 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 1 | 2 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 1 | 2 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 0 | 2 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 3 | 2 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 63% (29/46) | 79% (64/81) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 44% (7/16) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 55% (16/29) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 20% (1/5) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.16 | 0.09 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 4 | 4 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 100% (4/4) | 100% (2/2) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 7 | 6 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 11 | 3 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 4 | 1 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.00 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| -1.00 | 0.00 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
 - 38', Orue D. 🟨, 
 - 41', Gentile G. 🟨, 
 - 2nd Half (0 - 1)
 - 46', Yovera A. ↓, Lucumi J. ↑, 
 - 46', Perez Azambuya E. M. ↓, Caballero F. ↑, 
 - 46', Gaibor F. ↓, Barcos H. ↑, 
 - 46', Arrasco M. ↓, Archimbaud J. ↑, 
 - 59', Vilchez J. ↓, de la Cruz A. ↑, 
 - 62', Leon Canchanya B. H. 🟨, 
 - 63', Gentile G. ↓, Cantero A. ↑, 
 - 67', Estrada J. ↓, Huaman M. ↑, 
 - 70', Zambrano C. ↓, Chavez G. ↑, 
 - 72', Archimbaud J. 🟨, 
 - 76', 0 - 1, Ceppelini P. (Pen), 
 - 77', Ceppelini P. 🟨, 
 - 90+3', Noriega E. 🟨, 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Ayacucho  23.4% | Draw  27.6% | Alianza Lima  49.1% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Ayacucho - Alianza Lima Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   4.02 ↓ (4.14) | 
			   3.37 ↑ (3.35) | 
			   1.9 ↓ (1.93) | 
			   7.1% (5.8%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Ayacucho - Alianza Lima?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                    
                    Users Predictions: 
                    
                    
                    
                    Alianza Lima will win 
                    (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ayacucho won 1.
 - The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
  - In this match, Alianza Lima is a strong favorite.
 - There will not play in Ayacucho: Correa Flores C. A.
(Red Card)
 - There will not play in Alianza Lima: Delgado J.
(Broken nose)
Lavandeira Hernandez P.
(Tendon Injury)
Paolo Guerrero
(Ankle Injury)
Pena S.
(Red Card)
 - There are questionable in Ayacucho: Barrios K.
(Injury)
 - There are questionable in Alianza Lima: Cantero A.
(Muscle Injury)
Cari P.
(Muscle Injury)
 - In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ayacucho won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 18:33. (average 0.9:1.7).
 - Including home matches between the teams, Ayacucho won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Ayacucho won against Alianza Lima?
                    
                    
                        
                            Ayacucho has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Lima won against Ayacucho?
                    
                    
                        
                             Alianza Lima has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Ayacucho - Alianza Lima were as follows:
                                                        
                                07.03.2025 
                                Alianza Lima 
                                - 
                                Ayacucho 
                                2:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                25.10.2022 
                                Ayacucho 
                                - 
                                Alianza Lima 
                                0:1
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Ayacucho                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Alianza Lima                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 28:10 | 18 | 39 | 
| 2 | Cusco | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24:14 | 10 | 30 | 
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:11 | 14 | 25 | 
| 4 | Alianza Lima | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:18 | 7 | 25 | 
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 24:17 | 7 | 25 | 
| 6 | Cienciano | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 24 | 
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 20:21 | -1 | 24 | 
| 8 | Los Chankas | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 17:24 | -7 | 24 | 
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 22 | 
| 10 | AD Tarma | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | 
| 11 | Alianza Atl | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 12:11 | 1 | 17 | 
| 12 | Grau | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17:19 | -2 | 16 | 
| 13 | Sport Boys | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14:21 | -7 | 16 | 
| 14 | Sport Huancayo | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 24:26 | -2 | 15 | 
| 15 | Ayacucho | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 15:24 | -9 | 14 | 
| 16 | Alianza Huanuco | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 19:31 | -12 | 14 | 
| 17 | Cajamarca | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16:22 | -6 | 13 | 
| 18 | Juan Pablo II | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 10:19 | -9 | 11 | 
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | 
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