Paderborn vs Hamburger SV – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
02/03/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 24
  • Referee: Kampka R. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 3
hungaryHungaryNet4+
icelandIcelandViaplay
israelIsraelSport 2
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandViaplay
portugalPortugalDAZN 2
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 4
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaNova Sport
slovakiaSlovakiaSport TV2, Voyo
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tivibu Spor 2
usaUsaESPN+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.391.41
Ball Possession
40%60%
Goal Attempts
1515
Shots on Goal
54
Shots off Goal
67
Blocked Shots
44
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
93
Shots inside the Box
1010
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
43
Free Kicks
1113
Offsides
21
Fouls
1311
Throw-ins
2223
Touches in the Opposition Box
4223
Passes
79% (259/326)87% (434/499)
Passes in the final third
70% (81/115)70% (71/102)
Crosses
39% (9/23)33% (8/24)
Tackles
67% (8/12)70% (14/20)
Clearances Total
2224
Interceptions
88

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Bilbija F. , Terho C. (A),
  • 36', Brackelmann C. , Castaneda S. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Bilbija F. 🟨,
  • 62', Sahiti E. , Balde F. ,
  • 63', Karabec A. 🟨,
  • 64', Terho C. 🟨,
  • 71', Terho C. , Grimaldi A. ,
  • 71', Bilbija F. , Michel S. ,
  • 74', Meffert J. , Richter M. ,
  • 74', Karabec A. , Konigsdorffer R. ,
  • 76', Scheller T. , Hansen M. ,
  • 76', Mehlem M. , Curda L. ,
  • 84', 2 - 0, Grimaldi A. , Ansah I. (A),
  • 89', Reis L. , Stange O. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Paderborn
40.5%
Draw
26.7%
Hamburger SV
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.3% 26.7% 35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3% 27.4% 34.1%

Paderborn - Hamburger SV Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.34
(2.44)
3.56
(3.5)
2.89
(2.67)
5.5%
(7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Paderborn - Hamburger SV?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Paderborn will win (votes: 9 - 40.9%). Hamburg will win (votes: 9 - 40.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Paderborn: 20.4%61.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Paderborn won 2.
    • Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.
    • Paderborn could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Paderborn: Platte F. (Back Injury)
    • There will not play in Hamburg: Glatzel R. (Tendon Injury) Jatta B. (Knee Injury) Katterbach N. (Knee Injury) Pherai I. (Muscle Injury) Raab M. (Broken Hand) Soumahoro A. (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches Paderborn won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 23:25 (average 1.6:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Paderborn won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11:15 (average 1.6:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paderborn - Hamburger SV were as follows:
    28.09.2024 Hamburger SV - Paderborn 2:2
    10.05.2024 Paderborn - Hamburger SV 1:0
    09.12.2023 Hamburger SV - Paderborn 1:2
    05.05.2023 Hamburger SV - Paderborn 2:2
    30.10.2022 Paderborn - Hamburger SV 2:3
    Latest results of Paderborn
    22.02.2025 Hannover - Paderborn 1:1
    08.02.2025 Ulm 1846 - Paderborn 0:2
    26.01.2025 Darmstadt - Paderborn 0:1
    Latest results of Hamburger SV
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke17121422:101237
    2Elversberg17104331:151634
    3Darmstadt1796229:171233
    4Paderborn17103428:181033
    5Hannover1785430:22829
    6Hertha Berlin1784521:16528
    7Kaiserslautern1783629:21827
    8Nurnberg1764719:23-422
    9Karlsruher SC1764725:33-822
    10Bochum1763823:22121
    11Holstein Kiel1755720:22-220
    12Preussen Munster1755722:26-420
    13Braunschweig1762920:29-920
    14Arminia Bielefeld1754827:24319
    15Magdeburg17521021:29-817
    16Dusseldorf17521015:27-1217
    17Greuther Furth17431026:44-1815
    18SG Dynamo Dresden17341024:34-1013

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga