Barangay Ginebra San Miguel vs Magnolia Hotshots: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Basketball Philippines Cup Barangay Ginebra San Miguel - Magnolia Hotshots
Result
85:81
01/06/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Philippine Cup
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel - Magnolia Hotshots - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Highlights

Chances of winning


Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
49.8%
Magnolia Hotshots
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.3% 53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1% 51.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barangay Ginebra San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Magnolia Hotshots has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barangay Ginebra San Miguel than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Magnolia Hotshots than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • Barangay Ginebra San Miguel - Magnolia Hotshots Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.87
    (1.98)

    1.85
    (1.71)
    7.5%
    (8.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 191.75
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)
  • What is the prediction for Barangay Ginebra San Miguel - Magnolia Hotshots?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Barangay Ginebra will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Magnolia Hotshots will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Barangay Ginebra: 25.1%83.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Barangay Ginebra (votes: 2 - 50%). Magnolia Hotshots (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 97:97.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barangay Ginebra won 3.
    • Barangay Ginebra has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Magnolia Hotshots is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Barangay Ginebra may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Barangay Ginebra has had a series of away games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Barangay Ginebra won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1843:1809. (average 92.2:90.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Barangay Ginebra won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 921:906. (average 92.1:90.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barangay Ginebra San Miguel - Magnolia Hotshots were as follows:
    25.12.2024 Barangay Ginebra San Miguel - Magnolia Hotshots 95:92
    11.05.2024 Barangay Ginebra San Miguel - Magnolia Hotshots 99:77
    31.03.2024 Magnolia Hotshots - Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 77:87
    19.11.2023 Barangay Ginebra San Miguel - Magnolia Hotshots 91:93
    12.02.2023 Magnolia Hotshots - Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 118:88
    Latest results of Magnolia Hotshots
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1San Miguel Beermen (1)Meralco Bolts (8)2 : 0
    2Barangay Ginebra San Miguel (4)Converge FiberXers (5)2 : 0
    3Magnolia Hotshots (3)TNT Tropang Giga (6)1 : 2
    4NLEX Road Warriors (2)Rain or Shine Elasto Painters (7)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1San Miguel Beermen (1)Barangay Ginebra San Miguel (4)3 : 2
    2TNT Tropang Giga (6)Rain or Shine Elasto Painters (7)3 : 2
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