Vardar vs Gostivar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
27/11/2024 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NORTH MACEDONIA: 1. MFL - Round 16
  • Where to Watch on TV:
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 2

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 26', Aydogan O. 🟨,
  • 43', Potuk A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 63', 0 - 1, Diatta A. ,
  • 74', 🟨,
  • 86', 🟨,
  • 87', 0 - 2, Ivanovski I. ,
  • 88', Aydogan O. , Djurdjevic F. ,

Chances of winning


Vardar
26.4%
Draw
28.7%
Gostivar
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.9% 26.6% 41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8% 26.5% 41.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vardar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vardar's form might have worsened.
  • Gostivar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vardar than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vardar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gostivar than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Vardar - Gostivar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.44
    (2.8)
    3.16
    (3.35)
    2.02
    (2.15)
    10.3%
    (12.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vardar - Gostivar were as follows:
    15.09.2024 Gostivar - Vardar 1:1
    10.03.2024 Gostivar - Vardar 0:0
    17.02.2024 Gostivar - Vardar 1:1
    24.09.2023 Vardar - Gostivar 0:2
    14.04.2023 Vardar - Gostivar 0:0
    Latest results of Vardar
    24.11.2024 Voska Sport - Vardar 0:0
    09.11.2024 Vardar - Shkupi 3:2
    03.11.2024 Pelister - Vardar 1:0
    30.10.2024 Vardar - AP Brera Strumica 0:1
    27.10.2024 Vardar - Rabotnički 0:0
    Latest results of Gostivar
    24.11.2024 Gostivar - Tikveš 1:0
    09.11.2024 Gostivar - Voska Sport 4:0
    03.11.2024 Shkupi - Gostivar 0:1
    30.10.2024 Gostivar - Pelister 0:0
    North Macedonian 1 MFL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vardar30235274:205474
    2Shkendija30215462:253768
    3Struga30195667:234462
    4Sileks30165956:292753
    5Tikves301251350:43741
    6Bashkimi301171236:49-1340
    7Arsimi301161347:52-539
    8Brera Strumica30991237:52-1536
    9Pelister30891331:40-933
    10Makedonija GP30861634:48-1430
    11Rabotnicki30851735:53-1829
    12Shkupi ✔ 30012915:110-951

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          1. MFL (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. MFL

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Shkupi is Relegated to 2. MFL