Marítimo vs Damaiense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:3
20/12/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga BPI Women - Round 8
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
126
Corner Kicks
121
Yellow Cards
02
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
126
Shots off target
46
Corner Kicks
121

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Martinet L. ,
  • 12', 1 - 1, Coutinho R. ,
  • 23', 1 - 2, Cartaxo S. , Lidiane (A),
  • 36', 2 - 2, Sisse F. , Panis N. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Guns C. , Wabeua Djiatio D. D. ,
  • 54', 2 - 3, Martinet L. ,
  • 57', 3 - 3, Nemtsov E. , Silva J. (A),
  • 70', Costa L. , Freitas I. ,
  • 80', Parker S. , Nokuthula F. ,
  • 81', Rafael L. , Moreira I. ,
  • 81', Coutinho R. , Goncalves L. ,
  • 88', Holtz J. , Abreu C. ,
  • 90+3', Lockwood A. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Marítimo
38.4%
Draw
27%
Damaiense
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.2% 25.7% 26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9% 25.3% 25.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Marítimo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marítimo's form might have worsened.
  • Damaiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Damaiense's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marítimo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Damaiense than the current prediction. (-9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Damaiense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Marítimo - Damaiense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.36
    (1.91)
    3.35
    (3.58)
    2.62
    (3.54)
    10.5%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 9 in the zone Liga BPI Women (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marítimo won 4.
    • Both teams have gone through a run of bad results.
    • Marítimo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Marítimo has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Damaiense has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Marítimo is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Marítimo won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 2.1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Marítimo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 2:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Marítimo - Damaiense were as follows:
    02.02.2025 Damaiense - Marítimo 0:2
    29.09.2024 Marítimo - Damaiense 2:1
    24.03.2024 Marítimo - Damaiense 1:4
    19.11.2023 Damaiense - Marítimo 1:3
    05.03.2023 Marítimo - Damaiense 3:1
    Latest results of Marítimo
    08.11.2025 Marítimo - Racing Power 1:2
    02.11.2025 Benfica - Marítimo 5:0
    26.10.2025 Rio Ave - Marítimo 1:1
    Latest results of Damaiense
    14.12.2025 Damaiense - Benfica 0:2
    07.12.2025 Damaiense - Valadares Gaia 1:3
    16.11.2025 Damaiense - Racing Power 0:4
    09.11.2025 Damaiense - Rio Ave 1:1
    Portuguese Liga BPI Women Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1SL Benfica W12102044:63832
    2Sporting W1274128:91925
    3Torreense W1270521:17421
    4Valadares Gaia W1253414:14018
    5Braga W1244419:13616
    6Vitoria Guimaraes W1235413:19-614
    7Racing Power W123458:15-713
    8Maritimo W1232716:30-1411
    9Rio Ave W122376:15-99
    10Damaiense W121389:40-316

          Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ First stage: )
          Liga BPI Women (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation