Gornyak-UGMK vs Buran Voronezh – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

16/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Ledovaya Arena A. Kozitsyna (Verkhnyaya Pyshma).

VHL

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Period (1 - 1)
01:11, 1 - 0, Khremkin K. (G), Zhuravlyov Y. (A), Makhrin M. (A2)
01:38, 1 - 1, Vanin D. (G), Sato Y. (A), Pavlyukov I. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
03:37, 1 - 2, Vanin D. (G), Dorokhov S. (A), Bryzgalov Y. (A2)
08:37, 2 - 2, Kashtanov A. (G), Makhrin M. (A),
14:38, 3 - 2, Chernikov Y. (G), Bolshakov M. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
15:23, 4 - 2, Makhrin M. (G), Zhuravlyov Y. (A), Kashtanov A. (A2)
17:07, 4 - 3, Goncharov N. (G), Dorokhov S. (A), Pavlyukov I. (A2)
18:21, 5 - 3, Zhuravlyov Y. (G), Kashtanov A. (A), Makhrin M. (A2)

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning

Gornyak-UGMK
59.4%

Draw
20.3%

Buran Voronezh
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

21.1%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

22.2%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gornyak-UGMK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Buran Voronezh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gornyak-UGMK than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gornyak-UGMK that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buran Voronezh than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Gornyak-UGMK - Buran Voronezh Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.6)	4.52 ↑ (4.33)	4.52 ↑ (4.14)	9% (9.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gornyak-UGMK won 4.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Recently, Gornyak-UGMK has had a series of away games.
Recently, Buran has had a series of home games.
In this match, Gornyak-UGMK is seen as the favorite.
In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Gornyak-UGMK won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 51:34. (average 3:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Gornyak-UGMK won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 27:16. (average 3.9:2.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Gornyak-UGMK won against Buran Voronezh?

Gornyak-UGMK has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Buran Voronezh won against Gornyak-UGMK?

Buran Voronezh has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Gornyak-UGMK - Buran Voronezh were as follows:

02.11.2025 Buran Voronezh - Gornyak-UGMK 2:0

18.01.2025 Gornyak-UGMK - Buran Voronezh 3:2

31.10.2024 Buran Voronezh - Gornyak-UGMK 0:3

04.12.2023 Gornyak-UGMK - Buran Voronezh 7:3

08.11.2023 Buran Voronezh - Gornyak-UGMK 2:3

Latest results of Gornyak-UGMK

12.01.2026 Omskie Krylia - Gornyak-UGMK 3:2 ✺

10.01.2026 Zauralie Kurgan - Gornyak-UGMK 4:3 ✺

08.01.2026 Rubin Tyumen - Gornyak-UGMK 3:2 ✺

06.01.2026 Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Gornyak-UGMK 0:2 ✺

23.12.2025 Gornyak-UGMK - Zvezda Moscow 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Buran Voronezh

12.01.2026 Buran Voronezh - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk 2:1 ✺

10.01.2026 Buran Voronezh - Molot Perm 1:4 ✺

08.01.2026 Buran Voronezh - Toros Neftekamsk 2:4 ✺

06.01.2026 Buran Voronezh - Izhstal 0:4 ✺

28.12.2025 AKM - Buran Voronezh 1:3 ✺

VHL Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Metallurg Novokuznetsk ✔	59	37	11	4	7	212:127	100
2	HC Yugra ✔	58	36	8	6	8	166:90	94
3	Almetyevsk ✔	58	34	6	9	9	211:120	89
4	Khimik ✔	58	31	5	7	15	172:120	79
5	Magnitka Magnitogorsk ✔	58	25	8	10	15	171:130	76
6	Ryazan	58	27	8	5	18	155:134	75
7	Izhevsk	58	31	3	6	18	150:127	74
8	Chelmet Chelyabinsk	58	28	5	7	18	168:153	73
9	Omskie Krylia	58	28	7	3	20	156:124	73
10	Gornyak	58	24	9	7	18	171:140	73
11	Torpedo Gorky	59	23	10	6	20	166:136	72
12	Dizel	59	27	5	8	19	149:132	72
13	CSK VVS	58	24	8	7	19	158:136	71
14	Krasnoyarsk	60	20	11	8	21	140:143	70
15	Rubin Tyumen	58	19	13	6	20	142:129	70
16	Perm	58	20	12	6	20	136:148	70
17	Bars	58	23	4	13	18	124:134	67
18	Toros Neftekamsk	58	22	6	8	22	131:141	64
19	Zvezda Moscow	58	23	5	6	24	133:135	62
20	Dinamo St. Petersburg	59	22	5	6	26	152:160	60
21	Kurgan	58	19	7	7	25	131:141	59
22	AKM	59	12	13	8	26	132:166	58
23	SKA-VMF St. Petersburg	59	20	4	8	27	115:151	56
24	Tambov	60	17	8	6	29	144:167	56
25	Olympia	58	13	9	9	27	100:149	53
26	Orsk	58	18	3	9	28	96:156	51
27	Buran Voronezh	60	16	6	7	31	128:174	51
28	Kristall Saratov	59	18	4	6	31	133:168	50
29	Dyn. Altay	59	12	7	11	29	126:183	49
30	HK Norilsk	60	16	5	5	34	117:163	47
31	Chelny	58	12	8	4	34	131:180	44
32	HC Rostov	60	13	4	9	34	117:176	43

Promotion ~ VHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

Clinched Spots for Teams

Metallurg Novokuznetsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
HC Yugra is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Almetyevsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Khimik is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Magnitka Magnitogorsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)