Sebastian Baez vs Pablo Carreno-Busta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

19/08/2025 at 17:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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ATP - SINGLES: Winston-Salem, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats


Aces
3	1
Double Faults
2	2
1st Serve Percentage
71%	65%
1st Serve Points Won
67% (40/60)	54% (20/37)
2nd Serve Points Won
38% (9/24)	40% (8/20)
Break Points Saved
83% (10/12)	29% (2/7)
1st Return Points Won
46% (17/37)	33% (20/60)
2nd Return Points Won
60% (12/20)	63% (15/24)
Break Points Converted
71% (5/7)	17% (2/12)
Winners
29	16
Unforced Errors
31	33
Net Points Won
69% (11/16)	50% (12/24)
Service Points Won
58% (49/84)	49% (28/57)
Return Points Won
51% (29/57)	42% (35/84)
Total Points Won
55% (78/141)	45% (63/141)
Last 10 Balls
8	2
Match Points Saved
0	0
Service Games Won
80% (8/10)	50% (5/10)
Return Games Won
50% (5/10)	20% (2/10)
Total Games Won
65% (13/20)	35% (7/20)

Chances of winning

Sebastian Baez
35.1%

Pablo Carreno-Busta
64.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

58.2%

Sebastian Baez - Pablo Carreno-Busta Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.2)		1.47 ↓ (1.61)	5.1% (7.6%)

Preview Facts

Baez is ranked ATP: 40. Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 113.
Both players have been playing unpredictably.
Carreno Busta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Carreno Busta will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Baez won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Sebastian Baez won against Pablo Carreno-Busta?

Sebastian Baez has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Pablo Carreno-Busta won against Sebastian Baez?

Pablo Carreno-Busta has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Sebastian Baez - Pablo Carreno-Busta were as follows:

25.10.2022 Sebastian Baez - Pablo Carreno-Busta 0:2

Latest results of Sebastian Baez

09.08.2025 Sebastian Baez - Gabriel Diallo 0:2 ✺

07.08.2025 Sebastian Baez - David Goffin 2:0 ✺

23.07.2025 Yannick Hanfmann - Sebastian Baez 2:1 ✺

18.07.2025 Sebastian Baez - Luciano Darderi 0:2 ✺

16.07.2025 Sebastian Baez - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Pablo Carreno-Busta

17.08.2025 Yoshihito Nishioka - Pablo Carreno-Busta 0:2 ✺

05.08.2025 Pablo Carreno-Busta - Leandro Riedi 0:2 ✺

30.07.2025 Arthur Fils - Pablo Carreno-Busta 2:0 ✺

28.07.2025 Liam Draxl - Pablo Carreno-Busta 1:2 ✺

30.06.2025 Pablo Carreno-Busta - Chris Rodesch Canceled ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/32-finals

1	Tsitsipas S. (1)	Bye
2	Bu Y.	Tseng C. H.	2 : 1
3	Navone M.	Suresh D. (Q)	2 : 0
4	Bye	Giron M. (16)
5	Baez S. (10)	Bye
6	Nishioka Y.	Carreno-Busta P.	0 : 2
7	Van De Zandschulp B.	Walton A.	2 : 1
8	Bye	Arnaldi M. (6)
9	Diallo G. (4)	Bye
10	Collignon R.	Basavareddy N. (Q)	0 : 2
11	Medjedovic H.	Rinderknech A.	2 : 0
12	Bye	Fearnley J. (15)
13	Mpetshi Perricard G. (9)	Bye
14	Goffin D.	Martinez P.	0 : 2
15	Coric B.	Blanch Dar. (Q)	0 : 2
16	Bye	Muller A. (8)
17	Borges N. (7)	Bye
18	Majchrzak K.	Jarry N.	2 : 0
19	Ofner S. (PR)	Kopriva V.	1 : 2
20	Bye	Korda S. (11)
21	Kecmanovic M. (13)	Bye
22	Kovacevic A.	Misolic F.	2 : 0
23	McDonald M.	Holt B. (WC)	2 : 1
24	Bye	Darderi L. (3)
25	Sonego L. (5)	Bye
26	Dostanic S. (WC)	Vukic A. (Q)	2 : 0
27	Comesana F.	Bellucci M.	0 : 2
28	Bye	Munar J. (12)
29	Bautista-Agut R. (14)	Bye
30	Safiullin R.	O'Connell C.	0 : 2
31	Gaston H.	Fucsovics M.	0 : 2
32	Bye	Griekspoor T. (2)

1/16-finals

1	Tsitsipas S. (1)	Bu Y.	0 : 2
2	Navone M.	Giron M. (16)	2 : 0
3	Baez S. (10)	Carreno-Busta P.	2 : 0
4	Van De Zandschulp B.	Arnaldi M. (6)	2 : 0
5	Diallo G. (WO.) (4)	Basavareddy N.
6	Medjedovic H.	Fearnley J. (15)	2 : 0
7	Mpetshi Perricard G. (9)	Martinez P.	2 : 1
8	Blanch Dar.	Muller A. (8)	1 : 2
9	Borges N. (7)	Majchrzak K.	0 : 2
10	Kopriva V.	Korda S. (11)	0 : 2
11	Kecmanovic M. (13)	Kovacevic A.	2 : 0
12	McDonald M.	Darderi L. (3)	1 : 2
13	Sonego L. (5)	Dostanic S.	2 : 1
14	Bellucci M.	Munar J. (12)	0 : 2
15	Bautista-Agut R. (14)	O'Connell C. (RET.)	1 : 0
16	Fucsovics M.	Griekspoor T. (2)	2 : 1

1/8-finals

1	Bu Y.	Navone M.	2 : 0
2	Baez S. (10)	Van De Zandschulp B.	1 : 2
3	Diallo G. (4)	Medjedovic H.	0 : 2
4	Mpetshi Perricard G. (9)	Muller A. (8)	2 : 0
5	Majchrzak K.	Korda S. (11)	1 : 2
6	Kecmanovic M. (13)	Darderi L. (3)	2 : 0
7	Sonego L. (5)	Munar J. (12)	1 : 2
8	Bautista-Agut R. (14)	Fucsovics M.	0 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Bu Y.	Van De Zandschulp B.	1 : 2
2	Medjedovic H.	Mpetshi Perricard G. (9)	0 : 2
3	Korda S. (11)	Kecmanovic M. (13)	2 : 0
4	Munar J. (12)	Fucsovics M.	0 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Van De Zandschulp B.	Mpetshi Perricard G. (9)	2 : 0
2	Korda S. (11)	Fucsovics M. (WO.)

Final

1

Van De Zandschulp B.

Fucsovics M.

0 : 2