Fasil Kenema vs Saint George – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
01/02/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 18

Match Stats

Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
45
Shots on target
24
Corner kicks
44
Total shots
45
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
21
Corner kicks
44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 82', 1 - 0, Debebe M. ,

Chances of winning


Fasil Kenema
28.3%
Draw
35.7%
Saint George
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.9% 33.9% 30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7% 33.2% 29.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fasil Kenema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fasil Kenema's form might have worsened.
  • Saint George has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Saint George's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fasil Kenema than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fasil Kenema, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint George than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Saint George, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Fasil Kenema - Saint George Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.21
    (2.56)
    2.55
    (2.71)
    2.53
    (3.05)
    10%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
    What is the prediction for Fasil Kenema - Saint George?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Fasil Kenema (2.13) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Fasil Kenema (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fasil Kenema won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Fasil Kenema may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Fasil Kenema won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 0.8:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Fasil Kenema won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.9:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fasil Kenema - Saint George were as follows:
    07.04.2025 Fasil Kenema - Saint George 2:1
    22.09.2024 Saint George - Fasil Kenema 1:2
    04.07.2024 Saint George - Fasil Kenema 4:0
    18.01.2024 Fasil Kenema - Saint George 0:1
    22.04.2023 Saint George - Fasil Kenema 1:0
    Latest results of Fasil Kenema
    Latest results of Saint George
    Ethiopian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sidama Bunna21109226:111539
    2Negele Arsi Ketema22107522:14837
    3Hawassa21106524:131136
    4Mechal2297629:191034
    5Fasil Kenema2189416:13333
    6Adama City21711319:17232
    7Ethio Electric21610511:11028
    8Bahir Dar Kenema21512415:15027
    9Hadiya Hossana2176818:21-327
    10Shire Endaselassie2168715:15026
    11Ethiopia Bunna2075817:20-326
    12St. George2167816:17-125
    13Dire Dawa21510614:21-725
    14Ethiopia Nigd Bank2259826:29-324
    15Ethiopian Insurance2158815:16-123
    16Sheger Ketema21411617:20-323
    17Welayta Dicha21410722:24-222
    18Mekelle 70 Enderta21410714:22-822
    19Welwalo Adigrat2149815:23-821
    20Arba Menche21210913:23-1016

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
          Relegation