Result
4:2
08/03/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 6
- Referee: Maza P. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.41 | 0.70 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 31 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (523/586) | 77% (259/335) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.41 | 0.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.63 | 1.71 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 31 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 15 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 21 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (523/586) | 77% (259/335) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 73% (37/51) | 41% (29/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (118/155) | 58% (34/59) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (8/20) | 11% (2/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 0.39 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (15/23) | 93% (14/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.71 | 4.63 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.29 | 0.63 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 19', Moreno B. 🟨,
- 33', 1 - 0, Araya M. ⚽, Fernandez J. (A),
- 44', Moreno B. 🟨,
- 44', Pino S. 🟨,
- 45+4', Zuniga D. 🟨,
- 45+4', Pacheco G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 2)
- 46', Moreno C. ↓, Frias F. ↑,
- 46', Ramirez B. ↓, Carvallo U. B. A. ↑,
- 46', Fuentes J. ↓, Yanis C. ↑,
- 56', Sandoval R. ↓, Astudillo A. ↑,
- 60', Espinoza Hevia V. A. 🟨,
- 67', 1 - 1, Pacheco G. ⚽, Astudillo A. (A),
- 69', 2 - 1, Espinoza Hevia V. A. ⚽, Zuniga D. (A),
- 73', Araya M. ↓, Carrasco B. ↑,
- 73', Montes Romero F. T. ↓, Meza N. ↑,
- 77', 3 - 1, Fernandez J. ⚽,
- 84', Zuniga D. ↓, Leon J. ↑,
- 84', Munder C. ↓, Benitez J. ↑,
- 86', 3 - 2, Frias F. ⚽, Carvallo U. B. A. (A),
- 87', 4 - 2, Da Silva N. ⚽, Leon J. (A),
- 90+1', Gallegos S. ↓, Tapia Paez G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Palestino
58.8% | Draw
24% | Cobresal
17.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palestino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Palestino's performance.Cobresal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cobresal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palestino than the current prediction. (-10.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Palestino that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cobresal than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cobresal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Palestino - Cobresal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↓
(1.86) |
3.88 ↑
(3.4) |
5.42 ↑
(3.85) |
6.3%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Palestino - Cobresal?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Palestino (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -1 - Palestino (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Palestino will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Palestino (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palestino won 3.
- In recent matches, Palestino has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Cobresal's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Palestino is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Palestino won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 33:27. (average 1.7:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Palestino won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:13. (average 2.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Palestino won against Cobresal?
Palestino has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cobresal won against Palestino?
Cobresal has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Palestino - Cobresal were as follows:
07.09.2025
Cobresal
-
Palestino
2:1
15.02.2025
Palestino
-
Cobresal
2:1
25.08.2024
Palestino
-
Cobresal
3:0
29.03.2024
Cobresal
-
Palestino
0:2
01.10.2023
Cobresal
-
Palestino
2:1
Latest results of Palestino
Latest results of Cobresal
Chilean Primera Division Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Colo Colo | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 8:4 | 4 | 15 |
| 2 | Limache | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 14 |
| 3 | Nublense | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 12 |
| 4 | U. Catolica | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 11 |
| 5 | U. De Concepcion | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 11 |
| 6 | A. Italiano | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:5 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Union La Calera | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 10 |
| 8 | U. De Chile | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 10 |
| 9 | O'Higgins | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | La Serena | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 9 |
| 11 | Coquimbo | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Huachipato | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Palestino | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 | Everton | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 | Cobresal | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 7 |
| 16 | D. Concepcion | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4:12 | -8 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso
