Result
1:4
18/01/2026 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 1)
- 03:47, 0 - 1, Barsukov T. (G), Voronin N. (A), Grishin P. (A2)
- 2nd Period (0 - 2)
- 07:59, 0 - 2, Sedantsov O. (G), Urulin S. (A),
- 10:26, 0 - 3, Barsukov T. (G), Korbit Y. (A),
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 00:46, 0 - 4, Sergiyevsky Y. (G), Sokolov D. (A),
- 06:42, 1 - 4, Chernikov Y. (G), Gordin A. (A), Romashkin P. (A2)
Chances of winning
Gornyak-UGMK
65.5% | Draw
17.9% | Rostov
16.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gornyak-UGMK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Rostov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gornyak-UGMK than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gornyak-UGMK that the model has picked up on.The ML Model estimate for Rostov aligns with the current prediction.
Gornyak-UGMK - Rostov Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.4 ↑
(1.39) |
5.13 ↑
(4.88) |
5.51 ↓
(6.02) |
9.1%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gornyak-UGMK won 4.
- In recent matches, Gornyak-UGMK has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Rostov is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Rostov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Gornyak-UGMK has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Rostov has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Gornyak-UGMK is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Gornyak-UGMK won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 45:29. (average 3.5:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gornyak-UGMK won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:15. (average 3.3:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Gornyak-UGMK won against Rostov?
Gornyak-UGMK has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rostov won against Gornyak-UGMK?
Rostov has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gornyak-UGMK - Rostov were as follows:
31.10.2025
Rostov
-
Gornyak-UGMK
3:4
20.01.2025
Gornyak-UGMK
-
Rostov
3:2
02.11.2024
Rostov
-
Gornyak-UGMK
1:3
06.12.2023
Gornyak-UGMK
-
Rostov
1:5
10.11.2023
Rostov
-
Gornyak-UGMK
3:7
Latest results of Gornyak-UGMK
VHL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Metallurg Novokuznetsk ✔ | 60 | 38 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 215:128 | 102 |
| 2 | HC Yugra ✔ | 60 | 38 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 174:90 | 98 |
| 3 | Almetyevsk ✔ | 59 | 34 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 215:123 | 91 |
| 4 | Khimik ✔ | 60 | 33 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 176:120 | 83 |
| 5 | Ryazan ✔ | 60 | 28 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 157:136 | 77 |
| 6 | Magnitka Magnitogorsk ✔ | 59 | 25 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 171:132 | 76 |
| 7 | Chelmet Chelyabinsk ✔ | 59 | 29 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 172:156 | 75 |
| 8 | Gornyak ✔ | 59 | 25 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 176:142 | 75 |
| 9 | Izhevsk ✔ | 59 | 31 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 152:132 | 74 |
| 10 | Torpedo Gorky ✔ | 61 | 24 | 10 | 6 | 21 | 170:138 | 74 |
| 11 | Omskie Krylia ✔ | 59 | 28 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 156:125 | 74 |
| 12 | Dizel | 60 | 27 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 149:136 | 72 |
| 13 | Krasnoyarsk | 61 | 21 | 11 | 8 | 21 | 144:144 | 72 |
| 14 | Perm | 59 | 21 | 12 | 6 | 20 | 138:148 | 72 |
| 15 | CSK VVS | 59 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 20 | 160:139 | 71 |
| 16 | Rubin Tyumen | 59 | 19 | 13 | 7 | 20 | 145:133 | 71 |
| 17 | Bars | 60 | 23 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 125:136 | 69 |
| 18 | Toros Neftekamsk | 59 | 22 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 134:145 | 64 |
| 19 | Zvezda Moscow | 59 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 134:139 | 62 |
| 20 | Kurgan | 59 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 134:143 | 61 |
| 21 | Dinamo St. Petersburg | 59 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 26 | 152:160 | 60 |
| 22 | AKM | 61 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 27 | 136:169 | 60 |
| 23 | SKA-VMF St. Petersburg | 60 | 21 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 118:151 | 58 |
| 24 | Tambov | 60 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 144:167 | 56 |
| 25 | Olympia | 59 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 103:150 | 55 |
| 26 | Orsk | 59 | 18 | 3 | 9 | 29 | 97:159 | 51 |
| 27 | Buran Voronezh | 61 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 128:177 | 51 |
| 28 | Kristall Saratov | 59 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 133:168 | 50 |
| 29 | Dyn. Altay | 61 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 31 | 128:190 | 49 |
| 30 | HK Norilsk | 60 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 117:163 | 47 |
| 31 | Chelny | 59 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 35 | 131:186 | 44 |
| 32 | HC Rostov | 60 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 34 | 117:176 | 43 |
Promotion ~ VHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Metallurg Novokuznetsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
HC Yugra is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Almetyevsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Khimik is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Ryazan is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Magnitka Magnitogorsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Chelmet Chelyabinsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Gornyak is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Izhevsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Torpedo Gorky is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Omskie Krylia is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
