Result
1:3
20/03/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 28
- Referee: Stamenkovic I. (Srb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 1 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 10 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 2.18 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (396/514) | 62% (166/268) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 2.18 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 1.91 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (396/514) | 62% (166/268) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 26% (15/58) | 28% (21/74) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (60/107) | 55% (53/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 54% (7/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.34 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.91 | 1.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.09 | 0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 11', 0 - 1, Zoric L. ⚽,
- 23', Tremoulet S. 🟨,
- 44', Kolaric D. 🟨,
- 45+2', Raskovic S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Leo Antonio ↓, Kuveljic N. ↑,
- 53', 1 - 1, Osei K. B. ⚽, Kuveljic N. (A),
- 54', Stojanovic L. ↓, Jovanovic D. ↑,
- 54', Quarshie E. ↓, Duronjic B. ↑,
- 57', 1 - 2, Jovanovic D. ⚽, Gasic M. (A),
- 58', Holender F. ↓, Caju ↑,
- 59', Raskovic S. ↓, Markocevic D. ↑,
- 70', Bilingi Y. 🟨,
- 73', 1 - 3, Novakovic M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 74', Ezequiel ↓, Enzo ↑,
- 77', Hajdarevic H. ↓, Puzovic L. ↑,
- 82', Kolaric D. ↓, Tasic N. ↑,
- 85', Gasic M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Spartak Subotica
25.7% | Draw
32.9% | Radnik Surdulica
41.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spartak Subotica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)Radnik Surdulica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Subotica than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radnik Surdulica than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Spartak Subotica - Radnik Surdulica Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.59 ↑
(2.99) |
2.78 ↓
(3.1) |
2.22 ↓
(2.29) |
8.9%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: )).
- Spartak Subotica is Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spartak Subotica won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Spartak Subotica won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:30. (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Spartak Subotica won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:15. (average 1.9:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Spartak Subotica won against Radnik Surdulica?
Spartak Subotica has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Radnik Surdulica won against Spartak Subotica?
Radnik Surdulica has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Spartak Subotica - Radnik Surdulica were as follows:
25.10.2025
Radnik Surdulica
-
Spartak Subotica
2:0
06.07.2025
Spartak Subotica
-
Radnik Surdulica
2:2
18.05.2024
Radnik Surdulica
-
Spartak Subotica
0:0
01.12.2023
Spartak Subotica
-
Radnik Surdulica
1:0
07.08.2023
Radnik Surdulica
-
Spartak Subotica
2:0
Latest results of Spartak Subotica
Latest results of Radnik Surdulica
Serbian Superliga Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Crvena zvezda ✔ | 33 | 26 | 4 | 3 | 96:26 | 70 | 82 |
| 2 | Partizan | 33 | 20 | 5 | 8 | 64:43 | 21 | 65 |
| 3 | Vojvodina | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 56:33 | 23 | 64 |
| 4 | Zeleznicar Pancevo | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 45:34 | 11 | 53 |
| 5 | Novi Pazar | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 41:46 | -5 | 48 |
| 6 | OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet | 33 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 45:41 | 4 | 45 |
| 7 | Radnik | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 42:38 | 4 | 44 |
| 8 | Cukaricki | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 46:47 | -1 | 43 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Crvena zvezda is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )
