Deportivo Municipal vs Universidad César Vallejo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Peruvian Liga 1 Deportivo Municipal - Universidad César Vallejo
Result
0:3
16/09/2023 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • PERU: LIGA 1 - CLAUSURA - ROUND 13

Chances of winning


Deportivo Municipal
29.2%
Draw
28.1%
Universidad César Vallejo
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.6% 24.9% 52.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4% 24% 50.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Deportivo Municipal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Municipal's performance.
  • Universidad César Vallejo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Universidad César Vallejo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Municipal than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Municipal that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad César Vallejo than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Universidad César Vallejo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Deportivo Municipal - Universidad César Vallejo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.16
    (4.12)
    3.33
    (3.75)
    2.18
    (1.78)
    7.6%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Deportivo Municipal - Universidad César Vallejo?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Municipal will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). César Vallejo will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 19 and 10).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Municipal won 0.
    • Municipal has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • César Vallejo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • César Vallejo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • César Vallejo will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Municipal won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 14-23.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Municipal won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-9.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Deportivo Municipal - Universidad César Vallejo were as follows:
    24.04.2023 Universidad César Vallejo - Deportivo Municipal 1:1
    29.10.2022 Universidad César Vallejo - Deportivo Municipal 1:1
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting Cristal752016:31317
    2Cusco65109:1816
    3U. de Deportes743011:4715
    4Deportivo Garcilaso73409:4513
    5Alianza Lima73317:5212
    6Sport Huancayo723210:1009
    7FBC Melgar72327:8-19
    8Los Chankas53028:11-39
    9Cienciano62227:528
    10Alianza Huanuco62137:9-27
    11Juan Pablo II71426:8-27
    12AD Tarma62135:9-47
    13Alianza Atl61323:4-16
    14Binacional51223:5-25
    15Comerciantes Unidos61237:10-35
    16Grau61147:11-44
    17Ayacucho61145:9-44
    18Sport Boys71152:9-74
    19Cajamarca60334:8-43

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