Telstar vs NAC Breda – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

27/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

BUKO Stadion (Velsen-Zuid).

Eredivisie - Round 25
Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)
Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.24	0.36
Ball possession
62%	38%
Total shots
14	11
Shots on target
7	1
Big chances
2	0
Corner kicks
10	4
Passes
81% (370/459)	69% (188/271)
Yellow cards
1	4
Expected goals (xG)
1.24	0.36
xG on target (xGOT)
3.00	0.00
Total shots
14	11
Shots on target
7	1
Shots off target
3	7
Blocked shots
4	3
Shots inside the box
12	5
Shots outside the box
2	5
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
1	0
Big chances
2	0
Corner kicks
10	4
Touches in opposition box
34	18
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	0
Free kicks
13	11
Passes
81% (370/459)	69% (188/271)
Long passes
46% (26/56)	39% (29/75)
Passes in final third
74% (136/184)	61% (49/80)
Crosses
30% (9/30)	16% (3/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.37	0.95
Throw ins
14	13
Fouls
11	13
Tackles
65% (13/20)	58% (7/12)
Duels won
50	45
Clearances
22	36
Interceptions
8	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
0	4
xGOT faced
0.00	3.00
Goals prevented
0.00	0.00

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', Leemans C. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Ritmeester van de Kamp J. ⚽, Hardeveld J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Salama A. ↓, Lucassen B. ↑,
46', Leemans C. ↓, Hillen R. ↑,
46', Holtby L. ↓, Reulen P. ↑,
64', Offerhaus G. 🟨,
71', Hillen R. 🟨,
73', Thorisson N. ↓, Brouwer P. ↑,
73', Balard M. ↓, Paula R. ↑,
74', Nassoh M. 🟨,
79', Reulen P. 🟨,
80', Alders G. ↓, Noslin T. ↑,
83', 2 - 0, Ritmeester van de Kamp J. ⚽, Brouwer P. (A),
85', 3 - 0, Brouwer P. ⚽,
90+2', Hatenboer C. ↓, Owusu T. ↑,
90+2', Ritmeester van de Kamp J. ↓, Mertens D. ↑,
90+2', Offerhaus G. ↓, Koswal D. ↑,

Chances of winning

Telstar
37%

Draw
26.1%

NAC Breda
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

28.6%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

28.2%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Telstar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

NAC Breda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Telstar than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for NAC Breda than the current prediction. (-4%)

Telstar - NAC Breda Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.44)	3.61 ↑ (3.25)	2.59 ↓ (2.79)	5.3% (7.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Telstar - NAC Breda?

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Telstar will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). Breda will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 36.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Breda: 15.1% – 58.5%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Breda (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 16 in the zone Eredivisie (Relegation)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Telstar won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Telstar: Owusu T. (Inactive)
There will not play in Breda: Greiml L. (Shoulder Injury) Jensen F. (Injury) Soumano M. (Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in Telstar: Koswal D. (Inactive)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Telstar won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:23. (average 1.1:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Telstar won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.3:1.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Telstar won against NAC Breda?

Telstar has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has NAC Breda won against Telstar?

NAC Breda has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Telstar - NAC Breda were as follows:

20.12.2025 NAC Breda - Telstar 0:1

16.02.2024 Telstar - NAC Breda 1:1

20.10.2023 NAC Breda - Telstar 3:1

19.05.2023 Telstar - NAC Breda 2:1

04.11.2022 NAC Breda - Telstar 1:1

Latest results of Telstar

22.02.2026 Feyenoord - Telstar 2:1 ✺

15.02.2026 Telstar - Twente 1:1 ✺

08.02.2026 Go Ahead Eagles - Telstar 1:1 ✺

05.02.2026 Telstar - Go Ahead Eagles 2:1 ✺

31.01.2026 Zwolle - Telstar 4:1 ✺

Latest results of NAC Breda

21.02.2026 NAC Breda - Volendam 1:0 ✺

14.02.2026 Heracles Almelo - NAC Breda 0:1 ✺

06.02.2026 NAC Breda - Excelsior 0:2 ✺

30.01.2026 NAC Breda - Twente 2:2 ✺

24.01.2026 PSV Eindhoven - NAC Breda 2:2 ✺

Dutch Eredivisie Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	PSV	28	22	2	4	78:37	41	68
2	Feyenoord	28	16	5	7	61:40	21	53
3	Nijmegen	28	14	8	6	69:47	22	50
4	Ajax	28	12	12	4	53:35	18	48
5	Twente	28	12	11	5	47:30	17	47
6	AZ Alkmaar	28	12	6	10	47:45	2	42
7	Utrecht	28	11	8	9	42:31	11	41
8	Heerenveen	28	11	8	9	49:46	3	41
9	Sparta Rotterdam	28	12	5	11	35:47	-12	41
10	Groningen	28	11	5	12	40:37	3	38
11	Sittard	28	10	5	13	43:52	-9	35
12	Zwolle	28	8	9	11	38:53	-15	33
13	G.A. Eagles	28	7	11	10	45:45	0	32
14	Telstar	28	6	9	13	38:46	-8	27
15	FC Volendam	28	7	6	15	30:48	-18	27
16	Excelsior	28	7	6	15	29:47	-18	27
17	NAC Breda	28	5	8	15	29:50	-21	23
18	Heracles	28	5	4	19	33:70	-37	19

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