Result
 
                    1:0
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        03/11/2023 at  15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - ROUND 10
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
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|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
								 
				 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Alverca  54.4% | Draw  25.4% | Oliveira Hospital  20.2% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Alverca - Oliveira Hospital Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   1.7 ↓ (1.72) | 
			   3.63 ↑ (3.4) | 
			   4.57 ↑ (4.42) | 
			   8.4% (10.2%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                              - Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: ) and 5 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )). 
 - Recent matches Alverca is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2). 
 - Oliveira Hospital is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1). 
 - In this match Alverca is a favorite.
 - Last 5 head-to-head matches Alverca won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-6. 
 - Including matches at home between the teams Alverca won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Alverca won against Oliveira Hospital?
                    
                    
                        
                            Alverca has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Oliveira Hospital won against Alverca?
                    
                    
                        
                             Oliveira Hospital has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Alverca - Oliveira Hospital were as follows:
                                                        
                                08.08.2023 
                                Oliveira Hospital 
                                - 
                                Alverca 
                                1:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                18.02.2023 
                                Oliveira Hospital 
                                - 
                                Alverca 
                                1:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                04.11.2022 
                                Alverca 
                                - 
                                Oliveira Hospital 
                                1:1
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Alverca                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Oliveira Hospital                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
2025/26Group A |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Trofense | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:7 | 6 | 15 | 
| 2 | Braga B | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 15 | 
| 3 | Varzim | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 15:11 | 4 | 13 | 
| 4 | Sanjoanense | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 13:11 | 2 | 12 | 
| 5 | AD Fafe | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 12 | 
| 6 | Amarante | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 11 | 
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 | 
| 8 | Paredes | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 | 
| 9 | AD Marco 09 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 9 | 
| 10 | Sao Joao Ver | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 5:12 | -7 | 8 | 
Group B |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Mafra | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 18 | 
| 2 | Caldas | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 18 | 
| 3 | Os Belenenses | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 16 | 
| 4 | Academica | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13:8 | 5 | 14 | 
| 5 | Amora | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 11 | 
| 6 | Santarem | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 11 | 
| 7 | Atletico CP | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 | 
| 8 | Lusitano GC | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:10 | 1 | 10 | 
| 9 | 1u00ba Dezembro | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6:13 | -7 | 9 | 
| 10 | Covilha | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4:10 | -6 | 7 | 
      Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
      Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )