Karlsruher vs Holstein Kiel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 2 Bundesliga
Result
3:1
21/02/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 23
  • Referee: Prigan F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, ESPN
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
icelandIcelandViaplay
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 6
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 2
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTivibu Spor 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.391.34
Ball possession
32%68%
Total shots
1415
Shots on target
74
Big chances
52
Corner kicks
34
Passes
68% (160/236)84% (450/533)
Yellow cards
55
Expected goals (xG)
2.391.34
xG on target (xGOT)
3.421.22
Total shots
1415
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
58
Blocked shots
23
Shots inside the box
119
Shots outside the box
36
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
52
Corner kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
2320
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free kicks
1223
Passes
68% (160/236)84% (450/533)
Long passes
38% (24/64)40% (19/47)
Passes in final third
60% (45/75)65% (91/139)
Crosses
20% (3/15)30% (6/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.660.99
Throw ins
1520
Fouls
2312
Tackles
52% (11/21)46% (6/13)
Duels won
5561
Clearances
2924
Interceptions
74
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
12
Goalkeeper saves
34
xGOT faced
1.223.42
Goals prevented
0.220.42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Wanitzek M. ⚽, Ben Farhat L. (A),
  • 33', Kwon Hyeok-Kyu 🟨,
  • 40', Zec D. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Kelati A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Rosenboom L. ↓, Kapralik A. ↑,
  • 53', Kwon Hyeok-Kyu ↓, Waschenbach M. ↑,
  • 54', Simic R. 🟨,
  • 60', Meffert J. ↓, Tohumcu U. ↑,
  • 61', 2 - 0, Ben Farhat L. ⚽, Jung S. (A),
  • 62', Simic R. ↓, Schleusener F. ↑,
  • 64', Tolkin J. 🟨,
  • 65', Ben Farhat L. 🟨,
  • 66', Waschenbach M. 🟨,
  • 69', Kelati A. ↓, Muller M. ↑,
  • 69', Tolkin J. ↓, Jakupovic A. ↑,
  • 73', Burnic D. 🟨,
  • 76', Burnic D. ↓, Pinto Pedrosa R. ↑,
  • 76', Ben Farhat L. ↓, Opitz L. ↑,
  • 78', Nekic I. 🟨,
  • 81', Nekic I. ↓, Niehoff N. ↑,
  • 83', 3 - 0, Wanitzek M. ⚽,
  • 90', Jakupovic A. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Wanitzek M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 90+6', 3 - 1, Muller M. ⚽,

Chances of winning


Karlsruher
37.1%		Draw
27.5%		Holstein Kiel
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.7% 25.9% 41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3% 24.8% 43.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Karlsruher has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • Holstein Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Holstein Kiel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karlsruher than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Karlsruher that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Holstein Kiel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Karlsruher - Holstein Kiel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.56 ↓
    (2.83)    		 3.45 ↓
    (3.58)    		 2.63 ↑
    (2.24)    		 6%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Karlsruher - Holstein Kiel?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Karlsruher will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Karlsruher: 32.6% – 78.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.5 - Karlsruher (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Karlsruher (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Karlsruher (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karlsruher won 0.
    • Recent performances by Karlsruher have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Holstein Kiel is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Holstein Kiel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Karlsruher: Beifus M. (Knee Injury) Egloff L. (Inactive) Rapp N. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Bernhardsson A. (Foot Injury) Erras P. (Concussion) Johansson C. (Knee Injury) Skrzybski S. (Muscle Injury) Tohumcu U. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Karlsruher won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 13:22. (average 1.2:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Karlsruher won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 1.2:2.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Karlsruher - Holstein Kiel were as follows:
    21.09.2025 Holstein Kiel - Karlsruher 3:0
    09.03.2024 Holstein Kiel - Karlsruher 1:0
    30.09.2023 Karlsruher - Holstein Kiel 0:2
    13.05.2023 Holstein Kiel - Karlsruher 2:1
    05.11.2022 Karlsruher - Holstein Kiel 1:4
    Latest results of Karlsruher
    13.02.2026 Nürnberg - Karlsruher 5:1 ✺
    08.02.2026 Karlsruher - Fortuna Düsseldorf 1:1 ✺
    31.01.2026 Eintracht Braunschweig - Karlsruher 1:0 ✺
    24.01.2026 Karlsruher - Hertha Berlin 2:2 ✺
    17.01.2026 Preußen Münster - Karlsruher 0:2 ✺
    Latest results of Holstein Kiel
    15.02.2026 Holstein Kiel - Schalke 04 1:2 ✺
    08.02.2026 Hannover - Holstein Kiel 3:1 ✺
    04.02.2026 Holstein Kiel - Stuttgart 0:3 ✺
    31.01.2026 Holstein Kiel - Greuther Fürth 1:2 ✺
    23.01.2026 Arminia Bielefeld - Holstein Kiel 2:2 ✺
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke24145534:211347
    2Paderborn24144640:271346
    3Darmstadt24129345:281745
    4Elversberg24136543:261745
    5Hannover24136542:301245
    6Kaiserslautern24114940:35537
    7Hertha Berlin24107734:29537
    8Karlsruher SC2496937:44-733
    9Nurnberg24861031:34-330
    10Bochum2478932:30229
    11Dusseldorf24841223:34-1128
    12Arminia Bielefeld24761136:33327
    13Preussen Munster24681029:36-726
    14SG Dynamo Dresden24671135:41-625
    15Holstein Kiel24671129:35-625
    16Braunschweig24741327:42-1525
    17Magdeburg24721535:47-1223
    18Greuther Furth24651335:55-2023

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