Aris vs Atromitos Athens – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
07/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 24
  • Referee: Papapetrou A. (Gre)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
greeceGreeceNova Sports 2
polandPolandSportKlub

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.461.02
Ball possession
34%66%
Total shots
711
Shots on target
31
Big chances
41
Corner kicks
28
Passes
72% (184/255)89% (451/507)
Yellow cards
03
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
2.461.02
xG on target (xGOT)
1.160.04
Total shots
711
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
28
Blocked shots
22
Shots inside the box
65
Shots outside the box
16
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
41
Corner kicks
28
Touches in opposition box
1922
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
12
Free kicks
1817
Passes
72% (184/255)89% (451/507)
Long passes
40% (22/55)46% (19/41)
Passes in final third
60% (52/87)77% (104/135)
Crosses
6% (1/18)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.470.64
Throw ins
1921
Fouls
1718
Tackles
75% (12/16)29% (4/14)
Duels won
5049
Clearances
2725
Interceptions
53
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
13
xGOT faced
0.041.16
Goals prevented
0.041.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 8', Racic U. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 37', Michorl P. 🟨,
  • 40', Garre B. 🟥,
  • 45+5', Mansur 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Donis A. , Gianniotas G. ,
  • 46', Uronen J. , Quini ,
  • 58', Kadewere T. , Moron L. ,
  • 58', Perez C. , Boussaid O. ,
  • 62', Zuber S. 🟨,
  • 66', Jubitana D. , van Weert T. ,
  • 66', Tsingaras T. , Pnevmonidis S. ,
  • 72', Mendyl H. , Frydek M. ,
  • 77', Moron L. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 83', Baku M. , Ukaki E. ,
  • 89', Zuber S. , Tsantilas P. ,
  • 90+2', Racic U. , Voriazidis M. ,

Chances of winning


Aris
48.7%
Draw
29.9%
Atromitos Athens
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.1% 28.7% 22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 28.9% 22.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Atromitos Athens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Aris aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atromitos Athens than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Aris - Atromitos Athens Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (1.89)
    3.12
    (3.23)
    4.39
    (4.18)
    6.7%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Aris - Atromitos Athens?
  • Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Aris will win (votes: 19 - 76%). Atromitos will win (votes: 3 - 12%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Aris: 59.3%92.7%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Atromitos (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Aris will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Aris (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Atromitos (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aris won 3.
    • Recent performances by Aris have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Atromitos is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Aris is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Aris: Galanopoulos K. (Health problems) Misehouy G. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Atromitos: Tsakmakis D. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Aris: Fadiga N. (Injury) Moron L. (Foot Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aris won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 31:22. (average 1.6:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Aris won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aris - Atromitos Athens were as follows:
    13.09.2025 Atromitos Athens - Aris 1:2
    26.04.2025 Atromitos Athens - Aris 1:1
    13.04.2025 Aris - Atromitos Athens 1:0
    07.12.2024 Aris - Atromitos Athens 2:1
    18.08.2024 Atromitos Athens - Aris 1:1
    Latest results of Aris
    01.03.2026 Panathinaikos - Aris 3:1
    22.02.2026 Aris - AE Kifisia 1:1
    14.02.2026 Volos - Aris 1:1
    08.02.2026 Aris - PAOK 0:0
    31.01.2026 Panetolikos - Aris 0:1
    Latest results of Atromitos Athens
    Greek Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PAOK ✔ 25176251:153657
    2Olympiacos Piraeus ✔ 25176245:113457
    3AEK Athens ✔ 25176246:172957
    4Panathinaikos ✔ 25137542:251746
    5Levadiakos ✔ 25116850:371339
    6Aris25612720:25-530
    7Atromitos25781026:29-329
    8OFI Crete25921432:45-1329
    9Volos25841324:37-1328
    10Kifisia25691032:39-727
    11Panetolikos25741424:38-1425
    12AEL Larissa ✔ 254101122:39-1722
    13Asteras Tripolis ✔ 25381421:39-1817
    14Panserraikos ✔ 25441716:55-3916

          Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Super League (Conference League Group: )
          Super League (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    PAOK is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
    Olympiacos Piraeus is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
    AEK Athens is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
    Panathinaikos is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
    Levadiakos is Qualified for Super League (Conference League Group )
    AEL Larissa is Super League (Relegation Group )
    Asteras Tripolis is Super League (Relegation Group )
    Panserraikos is Super League (Relegation Group )