Kitchee vs Lee Man – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
07/04/2026 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Cup - Final

Chances of winning


Kitchee
47%
Draw
28.9%
Lee Man
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.5% 26% 30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4% 25.5% 30%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kitchee has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Lee Man has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lee Man might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kitchee than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lee Man than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lee Man could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Kitchee - Lee Man Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (2.09)
    3.18
    (3.5)
    3.81
    (2.97)
    8.9%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Kitchee - Lee Man?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1 - Lee Man (1.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Lee Man (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lee Man (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kitchee won 2.
    • Kitchee is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Lee Man has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Kitchee may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Kitchee has had a series of home games.
    • Kitchee could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kitchee won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 30:36. (average 1.5:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kitchee won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kitchee - Lee Man were as follows:
    15.02.2026 Kitchee - Lee Man 1:0
    20.09.2025 Lee Man - Kitchee 2:3
    12.04.2025 Lee Man - Kitchee 4:0
    15.03.2025 Kitchee - Lee Man 0:1
    30.11.2024 Lee Man - Kitchee 2:1
    Latest results of Kitchee
    21.03.2026 Kitchee - Eastern AA 2:1
    18.03.2026 Kitchee - Kowloon City 1:0
    14.03.2026 Kitchee - Kowloon City 4:0
    07.03.2026 Wofoo Tai Po - Kitchee 2:1
    01.03.2026 Kitchee - Hong Kong FC 5:2
    Latest results of Lee Man
    03.04.2026 Eastern District - Lee Man 0:0
    21.03.2026 Lee Man - Kowloon City 0:0
    15.03.2026 Hong Kong FC - Lee Man 0:4
    11.03.2026 Lee Man - Wofoo Tai Po 1:0
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1KitcheeBye
    2ByeHong Kong Rangers
    3Kowloon CityBye
    4Southern DistrictEastern District1 : 4
    5North DistrictBye
    6ByeLee Man Warriors
    7Hong Kong FCBye
    8Tai PoEastern AA3 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1KitcheeHong Kong Rangers3 : 0
    2Kowloon CityEastern District2 : 1
    3North DistrictLee Man Warriors1 : 2
    4Hong Kong FCTai Po0 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1KitcheeKowloon City1 : 0
    2Lee Man WarriorsTai Po1 : 0

    Final
    1KitcheeLee Man Warriors1 : 2