Karbala vs Al-Karkh – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
28/03/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Stars League - Round 25
  • Where to Watch on TV:
iraqIraqAl Iraqiya Sports, Almanasa

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 28', 0 - 1, Gomaa S. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 56', 1 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Karbala
27.7%
Draw
32.3%
Al-Karkh
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.3% 33.7% 35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6% 34% 34.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Karbala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • Al-Karkh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Karkh's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karbala than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Karkh than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Karkh, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Karbala - Al-Karkh Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.3
    (2.85)
    2.83
    (2.65)
    2.28
    (2.55)
    9.6%
    (12%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 and 10).
    • Karbala is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Al-Karkh is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Al-Karkh could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Karbala have a series of guest games.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Karbala won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:5 (average 1.3:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Karbala won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Karbala - Al-Karkh were as follows:
    06.11.2024 Al-Karkh - Karbala 2:1
    22.06.2024 Karbala - Al-Karkh 2:1
    08.12.2023 Al-Karkh - Karbala 1:2
    29.10.2022 Al-Karkh - Karbala 1:0
    Latest results of Karbala
    13.03.2025 Al-Kahraba - Karbala 1:1
    02.03.2025 Naft Al-Basra - Karbala 0:0
    20.02.2025 Al-Zawraa - Karbala 1:0
    15.02.2025 Karbala - Naft Maysan 1:3
    Latest results of Al-Karkh
    08.03.2025 Al-Karkh - Zakho 1:1
    02.03.2025 Naft Maysan - Al-Karkh 1:2
    18.02.2025 Al-Kahraba - Al-Karkh 2:0
    13.02.2025 Al-Karkh - Naft Al-Basra 1:0
    Iraqi Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Quwa Al Jawiya20144227:101746
    2Al Shorta19142335:132244
    3Al-Karma20115426:121438
    4Erbil19115325:141138
    5Al Talaba20114526:161037
    6Zakho20106428:151336
    7Al Karkh2097430:21934
    8Al Zawraa1988324:16832
    9Al Gharraf2085722:19329
    10Diyala1977524:18628
    11Duhok2076723:20327
    12Newroz20811123:27-425
    13Al Naft1966720:19124
    14Al Mosul2065919:28-923
    15Al Minaa2056919:23-421
    16Baghdad19541019:31-1219
    17Al Kahraba20531220:29-918
    18Naft Missan20441222:36-1416
    19Al Najaf20221613:37-248
    20Al-Qassim2002186:47-412

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