Result
2:4
07/12/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera Divisió - Round 11
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 5', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 20', 🟨,
- 22', 🟨,
- 28', 🟨,
- 30', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 31', 🟨,
- 37', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', 0 - 3, ⚽,
- 48', 🟨,
- 53', 🟨,
- 57', 0 - 4, ⚽,
- 60', 1 - 4, ⚽,
- 64', 2 - 4, ⚽,
- 75', 🟨,
- 88', 🟥,
- 90+1', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ordino 45.6% | Draw 28.6% | Penya Encarnada 25.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ordino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ordino's performance.Penya Encarnada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Penya Encarnada might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ordino than the current prediction. (-8.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ordino that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penya Encarnada than the current prediction. (+7.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Penya Encarnada could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ordino - Penya Encarnada Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.98 ↓ (2.49) |
3.17 ↑ (3.08) |
3.51 ↑ (2.64) |
10.5% (10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ordino won 1.
- Recent performances by Ordino have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Penya has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Penya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Penya has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Ordino won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:19. (average 0.9:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ordino won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Ordino won against Penya Encarnada?
Ordino has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Penya Encarnada won against Ordino?
Penya Encarnada has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ordino - Penya Encarnada were as follows:
06.11.2025
Penya Encarnada
-
Ordino
3:4
11.05.2025
Penya Encarnada
-
Ordino
1:1
19.01.2025
Ordino
-
Penya Encarnada
0:1
20.10.2024
Penya Encarnada
-
Ordino
0:0
03.03.2024
Penya Encarnada
-
Ordino
2:1
Latest results of Penya Encarnada
Andorra Primera Divisio Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter Escaldes | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 31:12 | 19 | 44 |
| 2 | UE Santa Coloma | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 39:12 | 27 | 41 |
| 3 | FC Santa Coloma | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 37:15 | 22 | 34 |
| 4 | FC Rangers | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 32:13 | 19 | 33 |
| 5 | Atletic Escaldes | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 24:20 | 4 | 26 |
| 6 | Penya | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16:34 | -18 | 18 |
| 7 | Ordino | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 18:33 | -15 | 14 |
| 8 | Carroi | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 11:40 | -29 | 13 |
| 9 | Esperanca | 18 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 7:36 | -29 | 4 |
| 10 | Pas de la Casa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Primera Divisiu00f3 (Relegation)
Relegation