Tirsense vs São Martinho – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
25/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 16

Match Stats

Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
109
Shots on target
75
Corner kicks
510
Total shots
109
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
34
Corner kicks
510

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 1', 1 - 0, ,
  • 35', 2 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 52', 2 - 1, ,
  • 89', 3 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Tirsense
51.5%
Draw
28.2%
São Martinho
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53% 26.2% 20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3% 28.8% 18.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tirsense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • São Martinho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tirsense than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tirsense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Martinho than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Tirsense - São Martinho Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (1.71)
    3.21
    (3.45)
    4.46
    (4.35)
    10.6%
    (10.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tirsense won 1.
    • In recent matches, Tirsense has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • São Martinho is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Tirsense is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Tirsense won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tirsense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tirsense - São Martinho were as follows:
    24.08.2025 São Martinho - Tirsense 0:4
    12.02.2023 São Martinho - Tirsense 1:0
    30.10.2022 Tirsense - São Martinho 0:1
    Latest results of Tirsense
    17.01.2026 Vianense - Tirsense 3:1
    10.01.2026 Tirsense - Bragança 1:2
    21.12.2025 Chaves B - Tirsense 0:1
    14.12.2025 Tirsense - Limianos 1:0
    Latest results of São Martinho
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1GD Braganca20115429:20938
    2AD Limianos1996426:20633
    3Celoricense2096532:191333
    4Brito1994624:18631
    5SC Vianense2086629:26330
    6Tirsense20610426:21528
    7Sao Martinho2083917:24-727
    8Camacha2069522:16627
    9SC Mirandela20811117:24-725
    10Chaves B2067728:24425
    11Machico2065922:28-623
    12Ribeira Brava1848617:27-1020
    13Vilaverdense2039814:20-618
    14Desportivo Moncao20351219:35-1614

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