Monaco vs Toulouse, French Ligue 1 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
25/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 9
  • Referee: Paradis G. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
brazilBrazilCaze TV
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
israelIsrael5 GOLD Israel
italyItalyLigue 1+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports
kosovoKosovoART Sport 4
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalSport TV3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 5
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.990.94
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
60
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
77% (323/420)70% (245/348)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
2.990.94
xG on target (xGOT)
2.230.35
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
137
Shots outside the Box
13
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
60
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
2020
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1815
Passes
77% (323/420)70% (245/348)
Long passes
36% (25/69)38% (20/53)
Passes in final third
56% (35/63)58% (66/113)
Crosses
67% (6/9)32% (6/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.871.03
Throw-ins
1924
Fouls
1518
Tackles
60% (15/25)79% (11/14)
Duels won
6562
Clearances
3812
Interceptions
119
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.352.23
Goals prevented
0.351.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Salisu M. , Ouattara K. (A),
  • 18', Golovin A. 🟨,
  • 34', Francis A. 🟨,
  • 45', Coulibaly M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Coulibaly M. , Teze J. ,
  • 54', Emersonn 🟨,
  • 60', Balogun F. , Ilenikhena G. ,
  • 60', Fati A. , Akliouche M. ,
  • 66', Kehrer T. 🟨,
  • 66', Francis A. , Vossah A. ,
  • 67', Methalie D. 🟨,
  • 73', Nicolaisen R. , Sidibe D. ,
  • 73', Magri F. , Hidalgo S. ,
  • 76', Golovin A. , Cabral P. ,
  • 84', Casseres C. , Sauer M. ,
  • 84', Methalie D. , Kamanzi W. ,
  • 90+5', Cresswell C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Monaco
53%
Draw
24.5%
Toulouse
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.1% 22.8% 22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4% 22.5% 22.3%

Monaco - Toulouse Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.82
(1.72)
4.02
(4.15)
4.41
(4.3)
2.7%
(5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Monaco - Toulouse?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Users Predictions: Monaco will win (31 of 38 users predict this - 81.58%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.25%93.91%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Monaco will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Toulouse may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Monaco is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Monaco: Camara L. (Ankle Injury) Dier E. (Muscle Injury) Hradecky L. (Knee Injury) Pogba P. (Lacking Match Fitness) Zakaria D. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Toulouse: Azizi I. (Knee Injury) Schmidt N. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Monaco: Diatta K. (Injury) Vanderson (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Toulouse: Messali R. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Monaco won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 37:20. (average 1.9:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Monaco won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:9. (average 2:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Monaco - Toulouse were as follows:
    07.03.2025 Toulouse - Monaco 1:1
    07.12.2024 Monaco - Toulouse 2:0
    18.02.2024 Monaco - Toulouse 1:2
    20.12.2023 Toulouse - Monaco 1:2
    03.06.2023 Monaco - Toulouse 1:2
    Latest results of Monaco
    22.10.2025 Monaco - Tottenham Hotspur 0:0
    18.10.2025 Angers - Monaco 1:1
    05.10.2025 Monaco - Nice 2:2
    01.10.2025 Monaco - Manchester City 2:2
    27.09.2025 Lorient - Monaco 3:1
    Latest results of Toulouse
    19.10.2025 Toulouse - Metz 4:0
    05.10.2025 Lyon - Toulouse 1:2
    27.09.2025 Toulouse - Nantes 2:2
    21.09.2025 Auxerre - Toulouse 1:0
    14.09.2025 Lille - Toulouse 2:1
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lens15111326:131334
    2PSG15103232:122033
    3Marseille1592435:152029
    4Lille1592429:171229
    5Lyon1573521:16524
    6Rennes1566324:23124
    7Monaco1572626:26023
    8Strasbourg1571725:20522
    9Toulouse1555521:19220
    10Brest1554620:24-419
    11Angers1554613:17-419
    12Nice1552819:27-817
    13Lorient1545619:28-917
    14Paris FC1544721:26-516
    15Le Havre1536613:21-815
    16Auxerre1533911:21-1012
    17Nantes1525813:24-1111
    18Metz15321015:34-1911

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