Rennes vs Lille – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Result
1:2
15/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 26
  • Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 4
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 1, Fast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
boliviaBoliviaESPN 4
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilCaze TV
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
ecuadorEcuadorESPN 4
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport Premium
franceFranceDAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
italyItalyLigue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoART Sport 5
maltaMaltaTVM Sport+
mexicoMexicoFOX One, Fox Sports
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 2
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
paraguayParaguayESPN 4
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN 4
polandPolandEleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalSport TV5
romaniaRomaniaVoyo
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 5
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 3
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Variety 3
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN 4, Inter
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.181.63
Ball possession
59%41%
Total shots
128
Shots on target
43
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
52
Passes
85% (494/580)79% (315/401)
Yellow cards
25
Expected goals (xG)
1.181.63
xG on target (xGOT)
1.542.25
Total shots
128
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
52
Blocked shots
33
Shots inside the box
76
Shots outside the box
52
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
1515
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
31
Free kicks
716
Passes
85% (494/580)79% (315/401)
Long passes
36% (19/53)39% (25/64)
Passes in final third
70% (112/159)61% (42/69)
Crosses
18% (4/22)40% (2/5)
Expected assists (xA)
0.701.11
Throw ins
3021
Fouls
167
Tackles
50% (5/10)67% (8/12)
Duels won
3944
Clearances
1136
Interceptions
126
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
13
xGOT faced
2.251.54
Goals prevented
0.250.54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Fernandez-Pardo M. ⚽, Ngoy N. (A),
  • 16', Bentaleb N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 47', 0 - 2, Haraldsson H. ⚽, Fernandez-Pardo M. (A),
  • 59', 1 - 2, Lepaul E. ⚽,
  • 65', Nagida M. 🟨,
  • 70', Tamari M. ↓, Szymanski S. ↑,
  • 70', Nagida M. ↓, Frankowski P. ↑,
  • 71', Nordin A. ↓, Embolo B. ↑,
  • 71', Ozer B. 🟨,
  • 73', Mandi A. 🟨,
  • 74', Mukau N. ↓, Perraud R. ↑,
  • 81', Blas L. ↓, Zabiri Y. ↑,
  • 84', Frankowski P. 🟨,
  • 85', Correia F. 🟨,
  • 85', Correia F. ↓, Giroud O. ↑,
  • 85', Verdonk C. ↓, Santos T. ↑,
  • 87', Rouault A. ↓, Ait Boudlal A. ↑,
  • 89', Haraldsson H. ↓, Alexsandro ↑,
  • 90+3', Ngoy N. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Rennes
42.3%		Draw
29.2%		Lille
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.1% 28.2% 33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8% 30.2% 31.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rennes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • Lille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lille might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rennes than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lille than the current prediction. (+3%)
    •

    Rennes - Lille Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.27 ↓
    (2.48)    		 3.26 ↓
    (3.35)    		 3.36 ↑
    (2.81)    		 4.5%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Rennes - Lille?
  • Users Predictions: 54 users predict this event. Rennes will win (votes: 36 - 66.7%). Lille will win (votes: 7 - 13%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 20.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Rennes: 54.1% – 79.3%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Rennes (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DNB - Rennes (1.55) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - Rennes (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Rennes (1.60) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Rennes (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Rennes (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Lille (votes: 1 - 5.6%). Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 7)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rennes won 1.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Lille may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Rennes could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Rennes: Jacquet J. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There will not play in Lille: Igamane H. (Knee Injury) Mbappe E. (Thigh Injury) Sahraoui O. (Injury) Toure O. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Rennes: Seidu A. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Lille: Andre B. (Injury) Caillard M. (Injury) Perrin G. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rennes won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:29. (average 1.3:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rennes won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rennes - Lille were as follows:
    03.01.2026 Lille - Rennes 0:2
    16.02.2025 Rennes - Lille 0:2
    24.11.2024 Lille - Rennes 1:0
    10.03.2024 Lille - Rennes 2:2
    16.09.2023 Rennes - Lille 2:2
    Latest results of Rennes
    08.03.2026 Nice - Rennes 0:4 ✺
    28.02.2026 Rennes - Toulouse 1:0 ✺
    22.02.2026 Auxerre - Rennes 0:3 ✺
    13.02.2026 Rennes - Paris Saint-Germain 3:1 ✺
    07.02.2026 Lens - Rennes 3:1 ✺
    Latest results of Lille
    12.03.2026 Lille - Aston Villa 0:1 ✺
    08.03.2026 Lille - Lorient 1:1 ✺
    01.03.2026 Lille - Nantes 1:0 ✺
    26.02.2026 Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Lille 0:2 ✺
    22.02.2026 Angers - Lille 0:1 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG ✔ 31224570:274370
    2Lens31204761:332864
    3Lyon32186852:341860
    4Lille32177851:351658
    5Rennes32168856:461056
    6Monaco321661056:48854
    7Marseille321651159:441553
    8Strasbourg311371150:41946
    9Lorient3210121044:49-542
    10Toulouse321181345:45041
    11Paris FC3210111144:47-341
    12Brest311081341:51-1038
    13Angers32971627:46-1934
    14Le Havre326141230:43-1332
    15Nice327101536:58-2231
    16Auxerre326101630:43-1328
    17Nantes32581929:51-2223
    18Metz32372232:72-4016

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          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

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