Audace Cerignola vs Virtus Francavilla – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie C Group C Audace Cerignola - Virtus Francavilla
Result
3:0
14/04/2024 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: Serie C - Group C - Round 36
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalySky Sport

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Coccia G. ,
  • 33', Monteagudo J. C. 🟨,
  • 44', Dutu E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Macca F. , Garofalo V. ,
  • 46', Carella F. , Di Marco T. ,
  • 46', Dutu E. , Molnar I. ,
  • 49', Molnar I. 🟨,
  • 49', Tentardini A. , Russo L. ,
  • 51', 2 - 0, D'Andrea F. ,
  • 57', D'Andrea F. 🟨,
  • 60', Laaribi M. , Risolo A. ,
  • 60', Risolo A. 🟨,
  • 61', 3 - 0, Cerignola A. ,
  • 69', Garofalo V. 🟨,
  • 72', Miguel Angel , Ghisolfi M. ,
  • 72', Ligi A. , Rizzo A. ,
  • 74', Izzillo N. , Neglia S. ,
  • 79', Vuthaj D. , Malcore G. ,
  • 79', D'Andrea F. , Leonetti V. ,

Chances of winning


Audace Cerignola
51.8%
Draw
27.1%
Virtus Francavilla
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.4% 31.7% 28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4% 31.7% 28.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Audace Cerignola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Audace Cerignola's performance.
  • Virtus Francavilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Virtus Francavilla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Audace Cerignola than the current prediction. (-12.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Audace Cerignola that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Francavilla than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Virtus Francavilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Audace Cerignola - Virtus Francavilla Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (2.35)
    3.39
    (2.92)
    4.36
    (3.2)
    8.8%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Audace Cerignola - Virtus Francavilla?
  • Users Predictions: Audace Cerignola will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A).
    • Audace Cerignola is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Virtus Francavilla is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Audace Cerignola is a favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Audace Cerignola won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-4.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Audace Cerignola won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Audace Cerignola - Virtus Francavilla were as follows:
    11.12.2023 Virtus Francavilla - Audace Cerignola 3:3
    12.03.2023 Audace Cerignola - Virtus Francavilla 1:0
    06.11.2022 Virtus Francavilla - Audace Cerignola 1:1
    Latest results of Audace Cerignola
    Latest results of Virtus Francavilla
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/32-finals
    1CrotoneBye
    2BeneventoJuventus U231 : 5
    4ByeFeralpiSalo
    8ByeL.R. Vicenza
    9RenateArzignano0 : 0
    10Giana ErminioVirtus Verona1 : 0
    12ByeMonopoli
    16ByeTernana
    17AlbinoLeffeBye
    18TrentoAtalanta U231 : 2
    20ByeTorres
    24ByeAudace Cerignola
    25ArezzoGubbio3 : 1
    26Vis PesaroPontedera1 : 1
    28ByeRimini
    29CataniaGiugliano3 : 2
    30PotenzaPicerno2 : 0
    31PescaraBye
    32PinetoPianese0 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1CrotoneJuventus U230 : 0
    2ByeFeralpiSalo
    4ByeL.R. Vicenza
    5RenateGiana Erminio1 : 2
    6ByeMonopoli
    8ByeTernana
    9AlbinoLeffeAtalanta U231 : 3
    10ByeTorres
    12ByeAudace Cerignola
    13ArezzoVis Pesaro0 : 1
    14ByeRimini
    15CataniaPotenza1 : 0
    16PescaraPianese2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1CrotoneFeralpiSalo1 : 2, 3 : 1
    2ByeL.R. Vicenza
    3Giana ErminioMonopoli3 : 1, 3 : 1
    4ByeTernana
    5Atalanta U23Torres1 : 2, 7 : 1
    6ByeAudace Cerignola
    7Vis PesaroRimini4 : 3, 1 : 1
    8CataniaPescara2 : 1, 0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1CrotoneL.R. Vicenza0 : 1, 1 : 2
    2Giana ErminioTernana0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3Atalanta U23Audace Cerignola2 : 2, 0 : 0
    4Vis PesaroPescara0 : 2, 2 : 4

    Semi-finals
    1L.R. VicenzaTernana1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2Audace CerignolaPescara1 : 1, 1 : 4

    Final
    1TernanaPescara1 : 1, 0 : 1