Result
2:0
20/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 22
- Referee: Backhouse A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | CBS Sports Network, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 2.08 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 29% | 71% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 28 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (174/240) | 84% (489/585) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 2.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 28 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 13 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 19 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 46 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (174/240) | 84% (489/585) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (26/56) | 49% (24/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (60/92) | 71% (140/198) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (2/5) | 17% (5/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 1.40 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (9/18) | 100% (16/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 48 | 8 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 20 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.39 | 1.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.39 | -0.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', McGree R. ↓, Nypan S. ↑,
- 17', 1 - 0, Riis E. ⚽,
- 25', Whittaker M. 🟨,
- 33', Targett M. 🟨,
- 36', Armstrong S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', Mehmeti A. ↓, Atkinson R. ↑,
- 62', 2 - 0, Atkinson R. ⚽, Twine S. (A),
- 73', Conway T. ↓, Sene M. K. ↑,
- 73', Targett M. ↓, Bangura A. ↑,
- 74', Nypan S. ↓, Browne A. ↑,
- 74', Riis E. ↓, Mayulu F. ↑,
- 84', Gilbert A. ↓, Burgzorg D. ↑,
- 87', Ayling L. 🟨,
- 87', Pring C. 🟨,
- 90', Armstrong S. ↓, Hirakawa Y. ↑,
- 90', Pring C. ↓, Roberts H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Bristol City
34.8% | Draw
26.9% | Middlesbrough
38.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bristol City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Bristol City - Middlesbrough Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.72 ↑
(2.57) |
3.49 ↓
(3.58) |
2.47 ↓
(2.57) |
5.9%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Bristol City - Middlesbrough?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Middlesbrough (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Bristol City (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Middlesbrough (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Middlesbrough will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Bristol City (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Middlesbrough (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol City won 4.
- Bristol City is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Middlesbrough is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Bristol City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Bristol City: Atkinson R.
(Hamstring Injury)
Bird M.
(Calf Injury)
McNally L.
(Knee Injury)
Williams J.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Middlesbrough: Fry D.
(Injury)
Lenihan D.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Middlesbrough: Morris A.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bristol City won 13 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:21. (average 1.7:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bristol City won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.6:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Bristol City won against Middlesbrough?
Bristol City has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Middlesbrough won against Bristol City?
Middlesbrough has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol City - Middlesbrough were as follows:
21.02.2025
Bristol City
-
Middlesbrough
2:1
19.10.2024
Middlesbrough
-
Bristol City
0:2
10.02.2024
Middlesbrough
-
Bristol City
1:2
25.11.2023
Bristol City
-
Middlesbrough
3:2
10.04.2023
Bristol City
-
Middlesbrough
2:2
Latest results of Bristol City
Latest results of Middlesbrough
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 72:38 | 34 | 71 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 54:35 | 19 | 66 |
| 3 | Millwall | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 47:40 | 7 | 62 |
| 4 | Ipswich | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 59:34 | 25 | 60 |
| 5 | Hull | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 56:48 | 8 | 60 |
| 6 | Wrexham | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 54:45 | 9 | 57 |
| 7 | Southampton | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 57:46 | 11 | 53 |
| 8 | Derby | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 52:46 | 6 | 51 |
| 9 | Watford | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 45:41 | 4 | 51 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 48:44 | 4 | 50 |
| 11 | Preston | 35 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 41:40 | 1 | 49 |
| 12 | Birmingham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 46:46 | 0 | 49 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 35 | 15 | 3 | 17 | 50:48 | 2 | 48 |
| 14 | Stoke | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 39:34 | 5 | 47 |
| 15 | QPR | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 46:54 | -8 | 47 |
| 16 | Swansea | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 40:43 | -3 | 46 |
| 17 | Norwich | 35 | 13 | 6 | 16 | 47:44 | 3 | 45 |
| 18 | Charlton | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 33:44 | -11 | 41 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 34:44 | -10 | 39 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 33:46 | -13 | 38 |
| 21 | West Brom | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 34:52 | -18 | 35 |
| 22 | Leicester | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 47:56 | -9 | 34 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 31:47 | -16 | 32 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 35 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 21:71 | -50 | -7 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
