Result
1:0
07/02/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 21
- Referee: Aydin C. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.45 | 0.39 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (234/317) | 83% (352/423) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.45 | 0.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 0.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 22 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (234/317) | 83% (352/423) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (21/61) | 59% (29/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (51/88) | 63% (45/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 0% (0/9) | 30% (7/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.56 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (10/19) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.55 | 1.51 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Serginho ⚽, Babicka S. (A),
- 15', Sari V. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Karakoc S. ↓, Sinik D. ↑,
- 49', Kalayci B. 🟨,
- 58', Biraschi D. 🟨,
- 61', Safuri R. ↓, Storm N. ↑,
- 67', Mladenovic F. ↓, Kurukalip C. ↑,
- 69', Sinik D. 🟨,
- 69', Saric D. 🟨,
- 73', Babicka S. ↓, Ahmed T. ↑,
- 73', Larsson S. ↓, Elmaz B. ↑,
- 76', Saric D. ↓, Boli Y. ↑,
- 80', Balci B. 🟨,
- 87', Serginho ↓, Kone ↑,
- 90', Turkmen H. ↓, Giannetti L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Fatih Karagümrükspor
36.4% | Draw
30.7% | Antalyaspor
32.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fatih Karagümrükspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fatih Karagümrükspor's form might have worsened.Antalyaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Antalyaspor than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Fatih Karagümrükspor - Antalyaspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.59 ↑
(2.27) |
3.07 ↓
(3.27) |
2.86 ↓
(3.2) |
6.1%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Fatih Karagümrükspor - Antalyaspor?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Karagümrük will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Antalyaspor will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH +0.5 - Antalyaspor (2.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Antalyaspor (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Antalyaspor (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 3.
- Karagümrük is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Antalyaspor has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Karagümrük may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Karagümrük could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Karagümrük: Camacho J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Antalyaspor: Omur A.
(Injury)
Yesilyurt E.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 1.4:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Karagümrük won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Fatih Karagümrükspor won against Antalyaspor?
Fatih Karagümrükspor has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Antalyaspor won against Fatih Karagümrükspor?
Antalyaspor has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fatih Karagümrükspor - Antalyaspor were as follows:
30.08.2025
Antalyaspor
-
Fatih Karagümrükspor
1:2
29.04.2024
Fatih Karagümrükspor
-
Antalyaspor
4:1
09.12.2023
Antalyaspor
-
Fatih Karagümrükspor
2:1
16.12.2022
Antalyaspor
-
Fatih Karagümrükspor
2:3
06.11.2022
Antalyaspor
-
Fatih Karagümrükspor
4:2
Latest results of Fatih Karagümrükspor
Latest results of Antalyaspor
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 24 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 58:18 | 40 | 58 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 24 | 15 | 9 | 0 | 54:23 | 31 | 54 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48:28 | 20 | 51 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 45:29 | 16 | 46 |
| 5 | Goztepe | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 27:16 | 11 | 42 |
| 6 | Basaksehir | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 42:26 | 16 | 39 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 24 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 25:27 | -2 | 32 |
| 8 | Kocaelispor | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 21:25 | -4 | 30 |
| 9 | Gaziantep | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 30:40 | -10 | 29 |
| 10 | Rizespor | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 31:35 | -4 | 27 |
| 11 | Alanyaspor | 24 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 26:30 | -4 | 26 |
| 12 | Genclerbirligi | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 28:34 | -6 | 24 |
| 13 | Antalyaspor | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 24:38 | -14 | 24 |
| 14 | Konyaspor | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 27:37 | -10 | 23 |
| 15 | Eyupspor | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 19:35 | -16 | 22 |
| 16 | Kasimpasa | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 20:35 | -15 | 20 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 24 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 18:43 | -25 | 20 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 24 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 21:45 | -24 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
