Result
9:13
15/02/2026 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Top 14 - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | CANAL+ France |
 Portugal | Sport TV7 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Conversion goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Conversion goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty goals |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Penalty goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres run with ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (6 - 3)
- 17', Carbonel L. (Penalty Goal),
- 27', Delpy V. (Penalty Goal),
- 40', Carbonel L. (Penalty Goal),
- 2nd Half (3 - 10)
- 50', Elias E. (Try),
- 50', Delpy V. (Conversion Goal),
- 56', Carbonel L. (Penalty Goal),
- 62', Dakuwaqa P. 🟨,
- 65', Delpy V. (Penalty Goal),
- 65', 🟥,
Chances of winning
Stade Français
57.3% | Draw
3.9% | Toulouse
38.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stade Français has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stade Français's form might have worsened.Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toulouse's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stade Français than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stade Français, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (-7.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toulouse, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Stade Français - Toulouse Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↑
(1.44) |
24.43 ↑
(20.33) |
2.38 ↓
(2.87) |
7.7%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 48.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
What is the prediction for Stade Français - Toulouse?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Stade Français will win (votes: 4 - 100%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Stade Français (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 27:22.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stade Français won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Stade Français will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- We predict that Stade Français will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stade Français won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 428:566. (average 21.4:28.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Stade Français won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 243:197. (average 24.3:19.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Stade Français won against Toulouse?
Stade Français has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toulouse won against Stade Français?
Toulouse has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stade Français - Toulouse were as follows:
01.11.2025
Toulouse
-
Stade Français
29:17
20.04.2025
Stade Français
-
Toulouse
21:27
29.12.2024
Toulouse
-
Stade Français
38:23
12.05.2024
Toulouse
-
Stade Français
49:18
03.12.2023
Stade Français
-
Toulouse
27:12
Latest results of Stade Français
Latest results of Toulouse
French Top 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Stade Toulousain | 20 | 15 | 0 | 5 | 795:438 | 71 |
| 2 | Section Paloise | 20 | 13 | 0 | 7 | 591:514 | 59 |
| 3 | Stade Francais Paris | 20 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 623:495 | 59 |
| 4 | Bordeaux Begles | 20 | 12 | 0 | 8 | 656:520 | 59 |
| 5 | Montpellier | 20 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 610:452 | 57 |
| 6 | Clermont | 20 | 11 | 0 | 9 | 633:551 | 52 |
| 7 | Racing 92 | 20 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 583:606 | 50 |
| 8 | Castres Olympique | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 501:570 | 47 |
| 9 | Stade Rochelais | 20 | 9 | 0 | 11 | 586:519 | 45 |
| 10 | Aviron Bayonnais | 20 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 553:636 | 45 |
| 11 | RC Toulonnais | 20 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 512:618 | 45 |
| 12 | Lyon | 20 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 570:551 | 44 |
| 13 | USA Perpignan | 20 | 5 | 0 | 15 | 408:563 | 23 |
| 14 | Montauban | 20 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 381:969 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Top 14 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pro D2
