Result
0:1
20/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 19
- Referee: Laforge N. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.56 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (318/415) | 70% (207/296) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 1.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (318/415) | 70% (207/296) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (44/82) | 44% (29/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (83/138) | 58% (66/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (7/32) | 28% (5/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.69 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 53% (10/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.21 | 0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 1', 0 - 1, Hautekiet I. ⚽, Mohr T. (A),
- 31', Viltard M. 🟨,
- 39', Marijnissen L. 🟨,
- 44', Berte M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Marijnissen L. ↓, De Fougerolles L. ↑,
- 57', De Fougerolles L. 🟨,
- 58', Mehssatou Sepulveda N. ↓, Kuavita L. ↑,
- 65', Viltard M. ↓, Koton K. ↑,
- 65', Jahanbakhsh A. ↓, Kvet R. ↑,
- 73', Cools K. ↓, Toshevski D. ↑,
- 77', Nkada T. ↓, Henry T. ↑,
- 78', Eckert Ayensa D. ↓, Abid A. ↑,
- 81', Sambu M. ↓, Hrncar D. ↑,
- 84', Pirard L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Dender EH
41.3% | Draw
30.3% | Standard Liège
28.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dender EH has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)Standard Liège has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Standard Liège might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dender EH than the current prediction. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Standard Liège than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Standard Liège could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Dender EH - Standard Liège Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.31 ↓
(2.55) |
3.12 ↓
(3.2) |
3.33 ↑
(2.78) |
5.4%
(6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Dender EH - Standard Liège?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Dender EH will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Standard will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Standard (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Dender EH (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Dender EH (votes: 1 - 50%). Standard (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dender EH won 1.
- Dender EH is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Standard has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Standard may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Dender EH: Dion M. S.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Standard: Bates D.
(Knee Injury)
Dierckx D.
(Shoulder Injury)
El Hankouri M.
(Inactive)
Epolo M.
(International duty)
Fossey M.
(Muscle Injury)
Said R.
(International duty)
- There are questionable in Standard: Nielsen C.
(Inactive)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Dender EH won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.7:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dender EH won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Dender EH won against Standard Liège?
Dender EH has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Standard Liège won against Dender EH?
Standard Liège has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dender EH - Standard Liège were as follows:
02.12.2025
Dender EH
-
Standard Liège
3:2
02.08.2025
Standard Liège
-
Dender EH
1:1
17.05.2025
Standard Liège
-
Dender EH
0:0
13.04.2025
Dender EH
-
Standard Liège
1:1
26.01.2025
Standard Liège
-
Dender EH
1:0
Latest results of Dender EH
Latest results of Standard Liège
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG ✔ | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 43:15 | 28 | 56 |
| 2 | St. Truiden ✔ | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 44:29 | 15 | 54 |
| 3 | Club Brugge KV ✔ | 26 | 17 | 2 | 7 | 49:31 | 18 | 53 |
| 4 | Anderlecht | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 34:32 | 2 | 40 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 34:29 | 5 | 39 |
| 6 | Gent | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 41:38 | 3 | 36 |
| 7 | Genk | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 36:40 | -4 | 35 |
| 8 | St. Liege | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 34 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 34:38 | -4 | 34 |
| 10 | Charleroi | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 35:35 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | Antwerp | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 29:30 | -1 | 30 |
| 12 | Waregem | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36:42 | -6 | 29 |
| 13 | Leuven | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28:37 | -9 | 28 |
| 14 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 34:40 | -6 | 27 |
| 15 | RAAL La Louviere | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 21:30 | -9 | 25 |
| 16 | Dender | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 21:44 | -23 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Royale Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
St. Truiden is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
Club Brugge KV is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
