Atalanta vs Lecce – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie A Atalanta - Lecce
Result
4:1
14/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 3
  • Referee: Manganiello G. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 3, ZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
angolaAngolaZ Sports 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 4
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 2, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
austriaAustriaDAZN
azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 2
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, Play Sports 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chinaChinaMigu
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 2
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
europeEuropeGo3 Sport 3 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
franceFranceDAZN France
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports 2
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4, ART Sport 1
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 2
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 2
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 1, Polsat Sport Premium 2
portugalPortugalSport TV5
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 4 South
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 2
thailandThailandTrue ID, True Premier Football 3
turkeyTurkeyS Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 2
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN, DAZN UK
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS Sports Network, DAZN USA, Paramount+
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 2
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.970.53
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1912
Shots on target
83
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
82
Passes
85% (389/455)79% (280/353)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.970.53
xG on target (xGOT)
2.110.71
Total shots
1912
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
35
Shots inside the Box
134
Shots outside the Box
68
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
3118
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
712
Passes
85% (389/455)79% (280/353)
Long passes
41% (14/34)38% (20/52)
Passes in final third
73% (95/130)66% (92/140)
Crosses
13% (3/23)33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.900.45
Throw-ins
1418
Fouls
127
Tackles
79% (11/14)54% (7/13)
Duels won
4441
Clearances
2031
Interceptions
58
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.712.11
Goals prevented
-0.29-1.89

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 37', 1 - 0, Scalvini G. , Zalewski N. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 51', 2 - 0, De Ketelaere C. , Krstovic N. (A),
  • 59', Pasalic M. , Brescianini M. ,
  • 59', Sottil R. , Pierotti S. ,
  • 60', Sala A. , Ndri K. ,
  • 70', 3 - 0, Zalewski N. , Krstovic N. (A),
  • 71', Stulic N. , Camarda F. ,
  • 71', Kouassi C. , Veiga D. ,
  • 73', 4 - 0, De Ketelaere C. ,
  • 75', De Ketelaere C. , Samardzic L. ,
  • 75', Sulemana K. , Maldini D. ,
  • 76', De Roon M. , Musah Y. ,
  • 79', Siebert J. , Tiago Gabriel ,
  • 82', 4 - 1, Ndri K. , Veiga D. (A),
  • 86', Zalewski N. , Bernasconi L. ,

Chances of winning


Atalanta
66.8%
Draw
21%
Lecce
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.6% 20% 12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4% 17.6% 14.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atalanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Lecce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atalanta that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Atalanta - Lecce Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.42)
    4.54
    (4.79)
    7.72
    (7.73)
    4.6%
    (4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Atalanta - Lecce?
  • Users Predictions: 53 users predict this event. Atalanta will win (votes: 38 - 71.7%). Lecce will win (votes: 4 - 7.5%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 20.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Atalanta: 59.6%83.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 14 high ROI users predict this event. Atalanta (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atalanta won 3.
    • Recent form of Atalanta has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Lecce has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Atalanta is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Atalanta: Bakker M. (Knee Injury) Ederson (Knee Injury) Kolasinac S. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Lecce: Jean G. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Atalanta: Lookman A. (Inactive) Scamacca G. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lecce: Kaba M. (Inactive) Marchwinski F. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Atalanta won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:8. (average 2.2:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atalanta won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atalanta - Lecce were as follows:
    27.04.2025 Atalanta - Lecce 1:1
    19.08.2024 Lecce - Atalanta 0:4
    18.05.2024 Lecce - Atalanta 0:2
    30.12.2023 Atalanta - Lecce 1:0
    19.02.2023 Atalanta - Lecce 1:2
    Latest results of Atalanta
    30.08.2025 Parma - Atalanta 1:1
    24.08.2025 Atalanta - Pisa 1:1
    16.08.2025 Atalanta - Juventus 1:2
    10.08.2025 Atalanta - Opatija 3:3
    09.08.2025 Köln - Atalanta 4:0
    Latest results of Lecce
    29.08.2025 Lecce - Milan 0:2
    23.08.2025 Genoa - Lecce 0:0
    15.08.2025 Lecce - Juve Stabia 2:0
    09.08.2025 Monopoli - Lecce 2:2
    03.08.2025 Lecce - Carrarese 1:0
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Napoli44009:3612
    2Juventus43108:4410
    3AC Milan43017:259
    4AS Roma43013:129
    5Cremonese52306:429
    6Atalanta42209:368
    7Como52216:428
    8Cagliari42115:327
    9Udinese42114:5-17
    10Inter420211:746
    11Bologna42023:306
    12Torino41121:8-74
    13Lazio41034:403
    14Sassuolo41034:7-33
    15Verona40312:6-43
    16Genoa40222:4-22
    17Fiorentina40223:6-32
    18Parma40221:5-42
    19Pisa40133:6-31
    20Lecce40132:8-61

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B