Result
4:1
14/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A - Round 3
- Referee: Manganiello G. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Africa | Azam Sports 3, ZAP |
Albania | Tring Sport 1 |
Angola | Z Sports 1 |
Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
Armenia | Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2 |
Asia | STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic |
Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
Austria | DAZN |
Azerbaijan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Belgium | DAZN 1, Play Sports 1 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2 |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
China | Migu |
Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4 |
Czech-republic | Sport 2 |
Denmark | TV2 Play |
Europe | Go3 Sport 3 Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic |
Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2 |
France | DAZN France |
Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player |
Indonesia | Vidio |
Italy | 214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 4, ART Sport 1 |
Kyrgyzstan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
Malaysia | Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 3 |
Mexico | Disney+, ESPN |
Moldova | Setanta Sports 2 |
Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 2 |
North-central-america | ESPN Norte |
Norway | VG+ |
Peru | Disney+ |
Poland | Eleven Sports 1, Polsat Sport Premium 2 |
Portugal | Sport TV5 |
Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Saudi-arabia | STC TV |
Serbia | Arena Premium 4 |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 2 |
South-america | ESPN 4 South |
South-korea | SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2 |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Tajikistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Thailand | True ID, True Premier Football 3 |
Turkey | S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1 |
Turkmenistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine |
United-kingdom | DAZN, DAZN UK |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | CBS Sports Network, DAZN USA, Paramount+ |
Uzbekistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.97 | 0.53 |
Ball Possession |
---|
57% | 43% |
Total shots |
---|
19 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
85% (389/455) | 79% (280/353) |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.97 | 0.53 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.11 | 0.71 |
Total shots |
---|
19 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
8 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
13 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 8 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
31 | 18 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
7 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
85% (389/455) | 79% (280/353) |
Long passes |
---|
41% (14/34) | 38% (20/52) |
Passes in final third |
---|
73% (95/130) | 66% (92/140) |
Crosses |
---|
13% (3/23) | 33% (4/12) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.90 | 0.45 |
Throw-ins |
---|
14 | 18 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 7 |
Tackles |
---|
79% (11/14) | 54% (7/13) |
Duels won |
---|
44 | 41 |
Clearances |
---|
20 | 31 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.71 | 2.11 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.29 | -1.89 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 37', 1 - 0, Scalvini G. ⚽, Zalewski N. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 51', 2 - 0, De Ketelaere C. ⚽, Krstovic N. (A),
- 59', Pasalic M. ↓, Brescianini M. ↑,
- 59', Sottil R. ↓, Pierotti S. ↑,
- 60', Sala A. ↓, Ndri K. ↑,
- 70', 3 - 0, Zalewski N. ⚽, Krstovic N. (A),
- 71', Stulic N. ↓, Camarda F. ↑,
- 71', Kouassi C. ↓, Veiga D. ↑,
- 73', 4 - 0, De Ketelaere C. ⚽,
- 75', De Ketelaere C. ↓, Samardzic L. ↑,
- 75', Sulemana K. ↓, Maldini D. ↑,
- 76', De Roon M. ↓, Musah Y. ↑,
- 79', Siebert J. ↓, Tiago Gabriel ↑,
- 82', 4 - 1, Ndri K. ⚽, Veiga D. (A),
- 86', Zalewski N. ↓, Bernasconi L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Atalanta 66.8% | Draw 21% | Lecce 12.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atalanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Lecce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (-7.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atalanta that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Atalanta - Lecce Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.44 ↑ (1.42) |
4.54 ↓ (4.79) |
7.72 ↓ (7.73) |
4.6% (4.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Atalanta - Lecce?
Users Predictions:
53 users predict this event. Atalanta will win (votes: 38 - 71.7%). Lecce will win (votes: 4 - 7.5%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 20.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atalanta: 59.6% – 83.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 14 high ROI users predict this event. Atalanta (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 6 - 42.9%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atalanta won 3.
- Recent form of Atalanta has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Lecce has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Atalanta is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Atalanta: Bakker M.
(Knee Injury)
Ederson
(Knee Injury)
Kolasinac S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Lecce: Jean G.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Atalanta: Lookman A.
(Inactive)
Scamacca G.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Lecce: Kaba M.
(Inactive)
Marchwinski F.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Atalanta won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:8. (average 2.2:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atalanta won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Atalanta won against Lecce?
Atalanta has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lecce won against Atalanta?
Lecce has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atalanta - Lecce were as follows:
27.04.2025
Atalanta
-
Lecce
1:1
19.08.2024
Lecce
-
Atalanta
0:4
18.05.2024
Lecce
-
Atalanta
0:2
30.12.2023
Atalanta
-
Lecce
1:0
19.02.2023
Atalanta
-
Lecce
1:2
Latest results of Atalanta
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Napoli | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 12 |
2 | Juventus | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 10 |
3 | AC Milan | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:2 | 5 | 9 |
4 | AS Roma | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 9 |
5 | Cremonese | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 9 |
6 | Atalanta | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 8 |
7 | Como | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
8 | Cagliari | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
9 | Udinese | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 7 |
10 | Inter | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 6 |
11 | Bologna | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 0 | 6 |
12 | Torino | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1:8 | -7 | 4 |
13 | Lazio | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
14 | Sassuolo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
15 | Verona | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
16 | Genoa | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
17 | Fiorentina | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 2 |
18 | Parma | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 2 |
19 | Pisa | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
20 | Lecce | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:8 | -6 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B