Arsenal vs Brighton & Hove Albion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Cup
Football English League Cup Arsenal - Brighton & Hove Albion
Result
2:0
29/10/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EFL Cup - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Barrott S. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.221.61
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1618
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
82
Passes
81% (353/436)86% (380/442)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.221.61
xG on target (xGOT)
1.340.73
Total shots
1618
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
37
Blocked Shots
85
Shots inside the Box
910
Shots outside the Box
78
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
4324
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
43
Free Kicks
149
Passes
81% (353/436)86% (380/442)
Long passes
31% (16/52)42% (19/45)
Passes in final third
74% (98/132)74% (72/97)
Crosses
13% (2/16)7% (1/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.490.64
Throw-ins
1218
Fouls
914
Tackles
44% (8/18)79% (11/14)
Duels won
5350
Clearances
1530
Interceptions
610
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
63
xGOT faced
0.731.34
Goals prevented
0.73-0.66

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 34', Coppola D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Kostoulas C. ↓, Ayari Y. ↑,
  • 57', 1 - 0, Nwaneri E. ⚽, Lewis-Skelly M. (A),
  • 67', De Cuyper M. ↓, Wieffer M. ↑,
  • 67', Rutter G. ↓, Minteh Y. ↑,
  • 68', Gomez D. ↓, Watson T. ↑,
  • 70', Hincapie P. ↓, Gabriel ↑,
  • 70', White B. ↓, Timber J. ↑,
  • 70', Dowman M. ↓, Saka B. ↑,
  • 76', 2 - 0, Saka B. ⚽,
  • 77', Harriman-Annous A. ↓, Rice D. ↑,
  • 78', Coppola D. ↓, Welbeck D. ↑,
  • 83', Eze E. ↓, Trossard L. ↑,
  • 86', Boscagli O. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Arsenal
60%		Draw
22.9%		Brighton & Hove Albion
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.8% 20.4% 12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.2% 19.1% 12%

Arsenal - Brighton & Hove Albion Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.58 ↑
(1.38)		 4.37 ↓
(4.51)		 5.92 ↓
(7.2)		 3.2%
(8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Arsenal - Brighton & Hove Albion?
  • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Arsenal will win (votes: 18 - 69.2%). Brighton & Hove will win (votes: 4 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Arsenal: 51.5% – 86.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Arsenal (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Brighton & Hove (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 2.
    • Arsenal has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Brighton & Hove is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Arsenal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Arsenal has had a series of home games.
    • Recently, Brighton & Hove has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Arsenal is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Arsenal: Gabriel Jesus (Knee Injury) Havertz K. (Knee Injury) Madueke N. (Knee Injury) Odegaard M. (Knee Injury) Saliba W. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Brighton & Hove: Hinshelwood J. (Ankle Injury) March S. (Knee Injury) Webster A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Arsenal: Martinelli G. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Brighton & Hove: Mitoma K. (Ankle Injury) Veltman J. (Calf Injury)
    • We predict that Arsenal will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:24. (average 1.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Arsenal won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arsenal - Brighton & Hove Albion were as follows:
    04.01.2025 Brighton & Hove Albion - Arsenal 1:1
    31.08.2024 Arsenal - Brighton & Hove Albion 1:1
    06.04.2024 Brighton & Hove Albion - Arsenal 0:3
    17.12.2023 Arsenal - Brighton & Hove Albion 2:0
    14.05.2023 Arsenal - Brighton & Hove Albion 0:3
    Latest results of Arsenal
    26.10.2025 Arsenal - Crystal Palace 1:0 ✺
    21.10.2025 Arsenal - Atlético Madrid 4:0 ✺
    18.10.2025 Fulham - Arsenal 0:1 ✺
    04.10.2025 Arsenal - West Ham United 2:0 ✺
    01.10.2025 Arsenal - Olympiacos Piraeus 2:0 ✺
    Latest results of Brighton & Hove Albion
    25.10.2025 Manchester United - Brighton & Hove Albion 4:2 ✺
    18.10.2025 Brighton & Hove Albion - Newcastle United 2:1 ✺
    05.10.2025 Wolverhampton Wanderers - Brighton & Hove Albion 1:1 ✺
    27.09.2025 Chelsea - Brighton & Hove Albion 1:3 ✺
    23.09.2025 Barnsley - Brighton & Hove Albion 0:6 ✺
    Draw
    Main

    1/64-finals
    1BirminghamSheffield Utd2 : 1
    2BlackpoolPort Vale0 : 1
    4ByeArsenal
    5BarnsleyFleetwood3 : 2
    6SalfordRotherham0 : 1
    7Oxford UtdColchester1 : 0
    8ByeBrighton
    9LiverpoolBye
    11WatfordNorwich1 : 2
    12NorthamptonSouthampton0 : 1
    13Crystal PalaceBye
    15NewportMillwall0 : 1
    16CoventryLuton1 : 0
    17BarrowPreston0 : 1
    18WrexhamHull4 : 3
    19PortsmouthReading1 : 2
    20GillinghamAFC Wimbledon1 : 2
    21BurnleyBye
    22West BromDerby1 : 2
    23CardiffSwindon2 : 1
    24CheltenhamExeter2 : 0
    25WolvesBye
    26ByeWest Ham
    27EvertonBye
    28ChesterfieldMansfield0 : 2
    29TranmereBurton1 : 2
    30HarrogateLincoln1 : 3
    32ByeChelsea
    33SwanseaCrawley3 : 1
    34PlymouthQPR3 : 2
    36ByeNottingham
    37SunderlandBye
    38HuddersfieldLeicester3 : 2
    40ByeManchester City
    41BoltonSheffield Wed3 : 4
    42ByeLeeds
    43GrimsbyShrewsbury3 : 1
    44ByeManchester Utd
    45BournemouthBye
    46ByeBrentford
    48ByeAston Villa
    49NewcastleBye
    51StokeWalsall1 : 0
    52BlackburnBradford City1 : 2
    53TottenhamBye
    55AccringtonPeterborough2 : 1
    56MiddlesbroughDoncaster0 : 4
    57WiganNotts Co1 : 0
    58Stockport CountyCrewe3 : 1
    59BromleyIpswich2 : 1
    60Leyton OrientWycombe0 : 1
    61FulhamBye
    62Bristol CityMK Dons2 : 0
    63Bristol RoversCambridge Utd0 : 2
    64CharltonStevenage3 : 1

    1/32-finals
    1BirminghamPort Vale0 : 1
    2ByeArsenal
    3BarnsleyRotherham2 : 1
    4Oxford UtdBrighton0 : 6
    5LiverpoolBye
    6NorwichSouthampton0 : 3
    7Crystal PalaceBye
    8MillwallCoventry2 : 1
    9PrestonWrexham2 : 3
    10ReadingAFC Wimbledon2 : 1
    11BurnleyDerby2 : 1
    12CardiffCheltenham3 : 0
    13WolvesWest Ham3 : 2
    14EvertonMansfield2 : 0
    15BurtonLincoln0 : 1
    16ByeChelsea
    17SwanseaPlymouth2 : 1
    18ByeNottingham
    19SunderlandHuddersfield1 : 2
    20ByeManchester City
    21Sheffield WedLeeds2 : 1
    22GrimsbyManchester Utd3 : 2
    23BournemouthBrentford0 : 2
    24ByeAston Villa
    25NewcastleBye
    26StokeBradford City0 : 3
    27TottenhamBye
    28AccringtonDoncaster0 : 2
    29WiganStockport County1 : 0
    30BromleyWycombe1 : 2
    31FulhamBristol City2 : 0
    32Cambridge UtdCharlton3 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Port ValeArsenal0 : 2
    2BarnsleyBrighton0 : 6
    3LiverpoolSouthampton2 : 1
    4Crystal PalaceMillwall2 : 1
    5WrexhamReading2 : 0
    6BurnleyCardiff1 : 2
    7WolvesEverton2 : 0
    8LincolnChelsea1 : 2
    9SwanseaNottingham3 : 2
    10HuddersfieldManchester City0 : 2
    11Sheffield WedGrimsby0 : 1
    12BrentfordAston Villa2 : 1
    13NewcastleBradford City4 : 1
    14TottenhamDoncaster3 : 0
    15WiganWycombe0 : 2
    16FulhamCambridge Utd1 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1ArsenalBrighton2 : 0
    2LiverpoolCrystal Palace0 : 3
    3WrexhamCardiff1 : 2
    4WolvesChelsea3 : 4
    5SwanseaManchester City1 : 3
    6GrimsbyBrentford0 : 5
    7NewcastleTottenham2 : 0
    8WycombeFulham1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1ArsenalCrystal Palace
    2CardiffChelsea
    3Manchester CityBrentford
    4NewcastleFulham
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