Result
2:1
17/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tigre, clay - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 59% | 52% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 64% (30/47) | 51% (23/45) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 55% (18/33) | 54% (22/41) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 43% (3/7) | 25% (2/8) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 49% (22/45) | 40% (19/47) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 46% (19/41) | 45% (15/33) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 57% (4/7) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 37 | 54 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 50% (2/4) | 56% (5/9) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 60% (48/80) | 52% (45/86) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (41/86) | 40% (32/80) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 54% (89/166) | 46% (77/166) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 57% (8/14) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 31% (4/13) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 56% (15/27) | 44% (12/27) |
Chances of winning
Alvaro Guillen Meza
57.6% | Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
42.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alvaro Guillen Meza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alvaro Guillen Meza's performance.Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvaro Guillen Meza than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alvaro Guillen Meza that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Alvaro Guillen Meza - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↓
(1.84) |
|
2.22 ↑
(1.84) |
7.1%
(8.6%) | |
What is the prediction for Alvaro Guillen Meza - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Varillas (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Guillen Meza is ranked ATP: 202. Varillas is ranked ATP: 278.
- Guillen Meza has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Varillas's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Guillen Meza is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Guillen Meza won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Alvaro Guillen Meza won against Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio?
Alvaro Guillen Meza has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio won against Alvaro Guillen Meza?
Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alvaro Guillen Meza - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio were as follows:
08.10.2025
Alvaro Guillen Meza
-
Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
1:2
18.10.2024
Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
-
Alvaro Guillen Meza
1:2
03.11.2022
Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
-
Alvaro Guillen Meza
2:0
Latest results of Alvaro Guillen Meza
Latest results of Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Guillen Meza A. (1) | Varillas J. P. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Zanellato N. (Q) | La Serna J. M. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Zarate C. M. (WC) | Damas M. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Pagani D. (WC) | Midon L. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Rodriguez Taverna S. (4) | Palosi S. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Sakamoto P. | Sanchez Jover C. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Schiessl J. E. (Q) | Villanueva G. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Cadenasso G. | Kicker N. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Agamenone F. (7) | Justo G. I. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Diaz Acosta F. | Aguilar Cardozo J. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Fernandez B. (Q) | Dellien Velasco M. A. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Ambrogi L. E. (RET.) (Alt) | Olivieri G. A. (3) | 0 : 1 |
| 13 | Collarini A. (6) | Ratti L. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Torres J. B. | Kestelboim M. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Zeitune M. (Q) | Roncadelli F. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Dutra Da Silva D. | Bueno G. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Guillen Meza A. (1) | La Serna J. M. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Zarate C. M. | Midon L. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Palosi S. | Sanchez Jover C. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Villanueva G. | Kicker N. (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Justo G. I. | Diaz Acosta F. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Fernandez B. | Olivieri G. A. (3) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Collarini A. (6) | Torres J. B. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Roncadelli F. | Bueno G. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | La Serna J. M. | Midon L. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Sanchez Jover C. | Villanueva G. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Justo G. I. | Fernandez B. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Collarini A. (6) | Bueno G. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Midon L. (5) | Sanchez Jover C. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Justo G. I. | Bueno G. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Midon L. (5) | Justo G. I. | 1 : 2 |
