Barangay Ginebra San Miguel vs San Miguel Beermen: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Basketball Philippines Cup Barangay Ginebra San Miguel - San Miguel Beermen
06/07/2025 at 05:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Philippine Cup - Play Offs - Semi-finals
Barangay Ginebra San Miguel - San Miguel Beermen - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Barangay Ginebra San Miguel
60.2%
San Miguel Beermen
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.6% 40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59% 41%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barangay Ginebra San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • San Miguel Beermen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barangay Ginebra San Miguel than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Miguel Beermen than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Barangay Ginebra San Miguel - San Miguel Beermen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.58)

    2.31
    (2.32)
    8.1%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 189.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
  • Preview Facts
    • San Miguel Beermen leads series 3-2. 6th leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barangay Ginebra won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Barangay Ginebra might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Barangay Ginebra won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1947:2023. (average 97.4:101.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Barangay Ginebra won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 789:861. (average 98.6:107.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barangay Ginebra San Miguel - San Miguel Beermen were as follows:
    04.07.2025 San Miguel Beermen - Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 103:92
    02.07.2025 Barangay Ginebra San Miguel - San Miguel Beermen 82:107
    29.06.2025 San Miguel Beermen - Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 90:100
    27.06.2025 Barangay Ginebra San Miguel - San Miguel Beermen 83:100
    25.06.2025 San Miguel Beermen - Barangay Ginebra San Miguel 71:73
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1San Miguel Beermen (1)Meralco Bolts (8)2 : 0
    2Barangay Ginebra San Miguel (4)Converge FiberXers (5)2 : 0
    3Magnolia Hotshots (3)TNT Tropang Giga (6)1 : 2
    4NLEX Road Warriors (2)Rain or Shine Elasto Painters (7)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1San Miguel Beermen (1)Barangay Ginebra San Miguel (4)3 : 2
    2TNT Tropang Giga (6)Rain or Shine Elasto Painters (7)3 : 2
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