Berceo vs Peña Balsamaiso – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
18/01/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Berceo
62.8%
Draw
22.5%
Peña Balsamaiso
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.8% 21.5% 13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9% 20.5% 13.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Berceo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Peña Balsamaiso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Berceo than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Berceo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peña Balsamaiso than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Berceo - Peña Balsamaiso Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.39)
    4.02
    (4.2)
    6.19
    (6.58)
    10.4%
    (10.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Berceo won 1.
    • Berceo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Peña Balsamaiso is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Peña Balsamaiso may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Berceo is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Berceo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1.2:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Berceo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Berceo - Peña Balsamaiso were as follows:
    06.09.2025 Peña Balsamaiso - Berceo 2:2
    12.04.2025 Peña Balsamaiso - Berceo 1:3
    30.11.2024 Berceo - Peña Balsamaiso 0:2
    14.01.2024 Peña Balsamaiso - Berceo 3:0
    12.03.2023 Berceo - Peña Balsamaiso 2:2
    Latest results of Berceo
    10.01.2026 Berceo - Autol 5:0
    03.01.2026 Yagüe - Berceo 2:2
    14.12.2025 Berceo - Oyonesa 2:2
    23.11.2025 Berceo - Anguiano 1:1
    Latest results of Peña Balsamaiso
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1UD Logrones B24177057:144358
    2Varea24184241:152658
    3Anguiano24137434:191546
    4Arnedo24128444:212344
    5Oyonesa24124836:30640
    6Calahorra24109557:193839
    7Agoncillo24116743:291439
    8Haro Deportivo24105938:37135
    9Yague2489736:32433
    10Vianes24861026:32-630
    11Pradejon24761121:28-727
    12Berceo24681029:36-726
    13CDFC Calzada24751228:37-926
    14San Marcial24751225:37-1226
    15Comillas24731420:45-2524
    16Villegas24641423:49-2622
    17Autol24341717:54-3713
    18Pena Balsamaiso24081616:57-418

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