Result
1:2
30/08/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 2. Bundesliga - Round 4
- Referee: Gansloweit T. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports 2 |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 6 |
Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | SportKlub 4 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 6, WOW |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3 |
Hungary | Arena 4 |
Iceland | SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay |
Indonesia | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN SPORTS MAX |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 5 |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Norway | Viaplay |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | beIN SPORTS MAX |
Poland | Eleven Sports 2 |
Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2 |
Serbia | Arena Sport 4, SportKlub 4 |
Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
Slovakia | Sport TV2, Voyo |
Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 6 |
Thailand | beIN SPORTS MAX |
Turkey | Tivibu Spor 1 |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.95 | 1.05 |
Ball Possession |
---|
41% | 59% |
Total shots |
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9 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 5 |
Passes |
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77% (280/365) | 86% (460/534) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.95 | 1.05 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.82 | 1.10 |
Total shots |
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9 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
3 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 2 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
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4 | 17 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
16 | 23 |
Passes |
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77% (280/365) | 86% (460/534) |
Long passes |
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40% (19/48) | 49% (27/55) |
Passes in final third |
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61% (41/67) | 71% (105/147) |
Crosses |
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11% (1/9) | 24% (5/21) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.53 | 0.90 |
Throw-ins |
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11 | 23 |
Fouls |
---|
23 | 16 |
Tackles |
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32% (6/19) | 75% (9/12) |
Duels won |
---|
47 | 67 |
Clearances |
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28 | 17 |
Interceptions |
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9 | 15 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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2 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
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1.10 | 0.82 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.90 | -0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 21', 1 - 0, Harres P. ⚽, Tolkin J. (A),
- 38', Knudsen M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Knudsen M. ↓, Davidsen K. ↑,
- 46', Therkelsen J. 🟨,
- 60', Aseko-Nkili N. ↓, Taibi W. ↑,
- 60', Rochelt J. ↓, Yokota D. ↑,
- 60', Pichler B. ↓, Kallman B. ↑,
- 62', Bernhardsson A. ↓, Kapralik A. ↑,
- 63', 1 - 1, Ghita V. ⚽, Leopold E. (A),
- 69', 1 - 2, Kallman B. ⚽,
- 70', Harres P. ↓, Muller M. ↑,
- 70', Therkelsen J. ↓, Niehoff N. ↑,
- 75', Okon I. 🟨,
- 76', Okon I. ↓, Blank H. ↑,
- 79', Tomiak B. 🟨,
- 79', Neubauer M. 🟨,
- 80', Wagner R. ↓, Schwab S. ↑,
- 84', Bundu M. ↓, Roggow F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Holstein Kiel 38.1% | Draw 26.1% | Hannover 35.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Holstein Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Hannover has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hannover than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Holstein Kiel - Hannover Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.48 ↓ (2.66) |
3.58 ↓ (3.7) |
2.62 ↑ (2.38) |
6.4% (6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Holstein Kiel - Hannover?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Hannover will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Holstein Kiel: 19.1% – 73.3%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Holstein Kiel won 3.
- Holstein Kiel has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Hannover is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Recently, Holstein Kiel has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Cvjetinovic M.
(Ankle Injury)
Erras P.
(Concussion)
Kelati A.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Hannover: Chakroun H.
(Inactive)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Holstein Kiel won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:20. (average 1.7:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Holstein Kiel won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.3:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Holstein Kiel won against Hannover?
Holstein Kiel has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hannover won against Holstein Kiel?
Hannover has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Holstein Kiel - Hannover were as follows:
19.05.2024
Hannover
-
Holstein Kiel
1:2
13.01.2024
Holstein Kiel
-
Hannover
2:3
16.12.2023
Holstein Kiel
-
Hannover
3:0
07.07.2023
Holstein Kiel
-
Hannover
1:2
28.05.2023
Hannover
-
Holstein Kiel
1:5
Latest results of Holstein Kiel
Latest results of Hannover
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Hannover | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 12 |
2 | Karlsruher SC | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 11 |
3 | Arminia Bielefeld | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 10 |
4 | Darmstadt | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
5 | Elversberg | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 9 |
6 | Schalke | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 9 |
7 | Paderborn | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 8 |
8 | Preussen Munster | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 7 |
9 | Braunschweig | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 7 |
10 | Kaiserslautern | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 6 |
11 | Greuther Furth | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 6 |
12 | Holstein Kiel | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 6 |
13 | Hertha Berlin | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 5 |
14 | Dusseldorf | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 4 |
15 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 |
16 | Bochum | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 3 |
17 | Magdeburg | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 3 |
18 | Nurnberg | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga