Hannover vs Holstein Kiel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 2 Bundesliga
Result
3:1
08/02/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 21
  • Referee: Oldhafer K. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN, FOX Sports
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
germanyGermanySky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Start
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
icelandIcelandViaplay
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 6
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 2
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 3, Sport TV2, Voyo
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
3.660.75
Ball possession
52%48%
Total shots
208
Shots on target
84
Big chances
80
Corner kicks
104
Passes
84% (400/475)81% (352/436)
Yellow cards
03
Expected goals (xG)
3.660.75
xG on target (xGOT)
3.300.68
Total shots
208
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
93
Blocked shots
31
Shots inside the box
165
Shots outside the box
43
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
80
Corner kicks
104
Touches in opposition box
5513
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
00
Free kicks
1812
Passes
84% (400/475)81% (352/436)
Long passes
52% (28/54)29% (12/41)
Passes in final third
73% (104/143)63% (49/78)
Crosses
44% (7/16)21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
3.530.37
Throw ins
1922
Fouls
1218
Tackles
54% (14/26)47% (8/17)
Duels won
7345
Clearances
1521
Interceptions
105
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
44
xGOT faced
0.683.30
Goals prevented
-0.320.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Kallman B. ⚽, Aseko-Nkili N. (A),
  • 14', Zec D. 🟨,
  • 21', 2 - 0, Aseko-Nkili N. ⚽,
  • 43', Harres P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Niehoff N. ↓, Jakupovic A. ↑,
  • 52', Davidsen K. 🟨,
  • 66', Meffert J. ↓, Therkelsen J. ↑,
  • 68', 2 - 1, Harres P. ⚽,
  • 72', Saad E. ↓, Thordarson S. T. ↑,
  • 72', Oudenne K. ↓, Taibi W. ↑,
  • 72', Aseko-Nkili N. ↓, Kokolo W. ↑,
  • 77', Okon I. ↓, Blank H. ↑,
  • 78', 3 - 1, Thordarson S. T. ⚽, Kokolo W. (A),
  • 82', Kallman B. ↓, Nielsen H. ↑,
  • 84', Kelati A. ↓, Schwab S. ↑,
  • 88', Harres P. ↓, Muller M. ↑,

Chances of winning


Hannover
58.2%		Draw
25.1%		Holstein Kiel
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.8% 26.7% 23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4% 25.9% 22.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hannover has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hannover's performance.
  • Holstein Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Holstein Kiel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hannover than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hannover that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Holstein Kiel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Hannover - Holstein Kiel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.62 ↓
    (1.88)    		 3.75 ↑
    (3.5)    		 5.63 ↑
    (3.98)    		 6.2%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Hannover - Holstein Kiel?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Hannover will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%). Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hannover: 58% – 94.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Hannover (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Hannover will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Hannover (votes: 8 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hannover won 3.
    • Hannover is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Holstein Kiel's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Holstein Kiel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Hannover is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Hannover: Chakroun H. (Inactive) Matsuda H. (Illness)
    • There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Bernhardsson A. (Foot Injury) Erras P. (Concussion) Johansson C. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Holstein Kiel: Tohumcu U. (Injury)
    • We predict that Hannover will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Hannover won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:23. (average 1.6:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hannover won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.5:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hannover - Holstein Kiel were as follows:
    30.08.2025 Holstein Kiel - Hannover 1:2
    19.05.2024 Hannover - Holstein Kiel 1:2
    13.01.2024 Holstein Kiel - Hannover 2:3
    16.12.2023 Holstein Kiel - Hannover 3:0
    07.07.2023 Holstein Kiel - Hannover 1:2
    Latest results of Hannover
    30.01.2026 Magdeburg - Hannover 1:2 ✺
    24.01.2026 Hannover - Fortuna Düsseldorf 2:1 ✺
    18.01.2026 Kaiserslautern - Hannover 3:1 ✺
    09.01.2026 Hannover - Waldhof Mannheim 1:0
    09.01.2026 Hannover - Duisburg 2:0
    Latest results of Holstein Kiel
    04.02.2026 Holstein Kiel - Stuttgart 0:3 ✺
    31.01.2026 Holstein Kiel - Greuther Fürth 1:2 ✺
    23.01.2026 Arminia Bielefeld - Holstein Kiel 2:2 ✺
    18.01.2026 Holstein Kiel - Paderborn 2:0 ✺
    10.01.2026 Ferencvárosi - Holstein Kiel 0:2
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke27157538:241452
    2Elversberg27156647:291851
    3Paderborn27156645:311451
    4Darmstadt271311349:301950
    5Hannover27147646:341249
    6Hertha Berlin27128742:33944
    7Kaiserslautern271241145:41440
    8Karlsruher SC271071043:51-837
    9Nurnberg271061137:37036
    10Bochum27891038:36233
    11Dusseldorf27941426:40-1431
    12SG Dynamo Dresden27781245:46-129
    13Braunschweig27851429:44-1529
    14Greuther Furth27851440:59-1929
    15Arminia Bielefeld27771339:39028
    16Holstein Kiel27771334:42-828
    17Magdeburg27831639:50-1127
    18Preussen Munster27681331:47-1626

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