Result
2:0
15/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 22
- Referee: Leonard T. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Armenia | Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Caze TV |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | ESPN 2 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
 Denmark | TV3 MAX, Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, Now Player |
 Israel | 5 LIVE Israel |
 Italy | Ligue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 4, ART Sport 4 |
 Malta | TVM Sport+ |
 Mexico | FOX One, Fox Sports |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Nigeria | Supersport Maximo 2 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 5 Norte |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV6 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 4, Arena Premium 5 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 3, Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
 South-africa | SuperSport Variety 3 |
 South-america | ESPN 2 South |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN, Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 Vietnam | ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.26 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (545/614) | 84% (381/456) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.87 | 0.41 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (545/614) | 84% (381/456) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (23/41) | 55% (31/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (91/126) | 67% (67/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.64 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.41 | 1.87 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.41 | -0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', Wahi E. ↓, Boudache K. ↑,
- 21', Sanson M. 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 0, Tolisso C. ⚽, Sulc P. (A),
- 45+4', Maitland-Niles A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', Tessmann T. 🟨,
- 64', 2 - 0, Nartey N. ⚽,
- 66', Tolisso C. ↓, Merah K. ↑,
- 74', Dante ↓, Bah J. ↑,
- 74', Cho M. ↓, Kevin ↑,
- 75', Louchet T. ↓, Boudaoui H. ↑,
- 81', Sulc P. ↓, Yaremchuk R. ↑,
- 83', Sanson M. ↓, Jansson I. ↑,
- 87', Abner Vinicius 🟨,
- 90+1', Maitland-Niles A. ↓, Kamara N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lyon
51.6% | Draw
25.7% | Nice
22.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lyon's form might have worsened.Nice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+9.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lyon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nice than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nice, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lyon - Nice Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.87 ↑
(1.59) |
3.72 ↓
(4.14) |
4.24 ↓
(5.28) |
4.1%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lyon - Nice?
Users Predictions:
83 users predict this event. Lyon will win (votes: 73 - 88%). Nice will win (votes: 1 - 1.2%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 10.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lyon: 81% – 95%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 10 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Lyon (2.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lyon will win (28 of 29 users predict this - 96.55%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 30 high ROI users predict this event. Lyon (votes: 29 - 96.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 3.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 3.
- Lyon has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Nice has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Lyon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Lyon is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Lyon: Endrick
(Red Card)
Fofana M.
(Ankle Injury)
Kluivert R.
(Muscle Injury)
Mangala O.
(Injury)
Moreira A.
(Injury)
Nuamah E.
(Knee Injury)
Tagliafico N.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M.
(Knee Injury)
Bombito M.
(Leg Injury)
Ndayishimiye Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Nice: Kevin
(Ankle Injury)
Mendy A.
(Inactive)
Sanson M.
(Injury)
- We predict that Lyon will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lyon won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 38:26. (average 1.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lyon won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:12. (average 1.9:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Lyon won against Nice?
Lyon has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nice won against Lyon?
Nice has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lyon - Nice were as follows:
18.10.2025
Nice
-
Lyon
3:2
09.03.2025
Nice
-
Lyon
0:2
01.12.2024
Lyon
-
Nice
4:1
16.02.2024
Lyon
-
Nice
1:0
27.08.2023
Nice
-
Lyon
0:0
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 53:19 | 34 | 57 |
| 2 | Lens | 24 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 45:21 | 24 | 53 |
| 3 | Lyon | 24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 39:26 | 13 | 45 |
| 4 | Marseille | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 51:33 | 18 | 43 |
| 5 | Lille | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 37:31 | 6 | 40 |
| 6 | Rennes | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38:35 | 3 | 40 |
| 7 | Monaco | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 40:36 | 4 | 37 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 35 |
| 9 | Brest | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 32:34 | -2 | 33 |
| 10 | Lorient | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 34:38 | -4 | 33 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 33:28 | 5 | 31 |
| 12 | Angers | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 22:30 | -8 | 29 |
| 13 | Le Havre | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 20:30 | -10 | 26 |
| 14 | Paris FC | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 28:40 | -12 | 26 |
| 15 | Nice | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 30:44 | -14 | 24 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19:35 | -16 | 18 |
| 17 | Nantes | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22:41 | -19 | 17 |
| 18 | Metz | 24 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 22:53 | -31 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
