Result
2:1
31/03/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Challenge League - Round 28
- Referee: Qovanaj H. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 2.01 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (425/489) | 82% (408/499) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 2.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 1.71 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 24 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (425/489) | 82% (408/499) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 74% (37/50) | 63% (41/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (129/162) | 66% (67/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 47% (7/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 0.82 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 68% (19/28) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 43 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.71 | 1.68 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.71 | -0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 31', Camara S. 🟨,
- 32', 1 - 0, Traore B. ⚽, Petit V. (A),
- 37', Pasche E. ↓, Traore S. ↑,
- 39', 2 - 0, Caslei B. ⚽, Antonio S. (A),
- 45+1', 2 - 1, Sawadogo M. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Camara S. ↓, Henchoz N. ↑,
- 61', Ndongo R. ↓, Kore F. ↑,
- 61', Escorza T. ↓, Silva ↑,
- 65', Sestito L. ↓, Correia O. ↑,
- 72', Bega L. ↓, Weber P. ↑,
- 72', Ghia J. ↓, Jaiteh M. ↑,
- 81', Petit V. ↓, Oberli B. ↑,
- 81', Hysenaj F. ↓, Simbakoli U. ↑,
- 90', Antonio S. 🟨,
- 90+2', Correia O. ↓, El Jaouhari M. ↑,
- 90+4', Traore B. 🟨,
- 90+6', Weber P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Étoile Carouge
53.1% | Draw
24.4% | Stade Nyonnais
22.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Étoile Carouge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Stade Nyonnais has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Étoile Carouge than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stade Nyonnais than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Étoile Carouge - Stade Nyonnais Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↓
(1.76) |
3.78 ↓
(3.82) |
4.09 ↑
(3.99) |
8.7%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Étoile Carouge - Stade Nyonnais?
Users Predictions:
Étoile Carouge will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Étoile won 4.
- Recent matches Étoile is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Stade Nyonnais is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Étoile could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Étoile is a favorite.
- There will not play in Étoile: Felder V.
(Yellow Cards)
Harrington F.
(Injury)
Ninte M.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Stade Nyonnais: De P. A.
(Injury)
Diomande B.
(Injury)
Richard G.
(Inactive)
- Last 14 head-to-head matches Étoile won 9 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 26:18 (average 1.9:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Étoile won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14:9 (average 2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Étoile Carouge won against Stade Nyonnais?
Étoile Carouge has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stade Nyonnais won against Étoile Carouge?
Stade Nyonnais has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Étoile Carouge - Stade Nyonnais were as follows:
07.03.2025
Stade Nyonnais
-
Étoile Carouge
0:3
04.10.2024
Étoile Carouge
-
Stade Nyonnais
3:1
20.09.2024
Stade Nyonnais
-
Étoile Carouge
2:4
13.05.2023
Étoile Carouge
-
Stade Nyonnais
1:0
05.11.2022
Stade Nyonnais
-
Étoile Carouge
2:0
Latest results of Étoile Carouge
Latest results of Stade Nyonnais
Swiss Challenge League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bellinzona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Xamax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Etoile-Carouge | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Stade Nyonnais | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Aarau | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Vaduz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Wil | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Yverdon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Rapperswil-Jona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Lausanne Ouchy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ Promotion League
