Zvezda Moscow vs Izhstal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
17/12/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • VHL

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 0)
  • 09:35, 1 - 0, Barantsev D. (G), Khulapov D. (A), Gordeyev M. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (3 - 0)
  • 17:42, 2 - 0, Vlasenko D. (G), Barabosha A. (A), Kuzminov Y. (A2)
  • 18:02, 3 - 0, Prokhorov A. (G), Shalyshkin N. (A),
  • 19:56, 4 - 0, Solovyov Y. (G), Savvateyev V. (A), Pankratov S. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (0 - 1)
  • 18:36, 4 - 1, Dyuryagin D. (G),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Zvezda Moscow
32.9%
Draw
24.1%
Izhstal
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.5% 23.1% 38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6% 23.2% 38.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Zvezda Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zvezda Moscow's form might have worsened.
  • Izhstal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zvezda Moscow than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zvezda Moscow, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Izhstal than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • Zvezda Moscow - Izhstal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.8
    (2.43)
    3.82
    (4.06)
    2.14
    (2.43)
    8.6%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 4.50
    What is the prediction for Zvezda Moscow - Izhstal?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Izhstal (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zvezda Moscow won 2.
    • Zvezda Moscow is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Izhstal has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Zvezda Moscow may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zvezda Moscow won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 55:44. (average 2.8:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Zvezda Moscow won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 27:20. (average 3:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Zvezda Moscow - Izhstal were as follows:
    05.12.2025 Izhstal - Zvezda Moscow 3:2
    16.03.2025 Zvezda Moscow - Izhstal 3:4
    05.09.2024 Izhstal - Zvezda Moscow 1:2
    17.12.2023 Izhstal - Zvezda Moscow 4:3
    27.10.2023 Zvezda Moscow - Izhstal 2:1
    Latest results of Zvezda Moscow
    Latest results of Izhstal
    15.12.2025 Khimik - Izhstal 0:1
    13.12.2025 Torpedo-Gorky - Izhstal 1:0
    05.12.2025 Izhstal - Zvezda Moscow 3:2
    03.12.2025 Izhstal - Khimik 1:2
    01.12.2025 Izhstal - Torpedo-Gorky 2:1
    VHL Table
    2025/26
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Metallurg Novokuznetsk ✔ 60381147215:128102
    2HC Yugra ✔ 6038868174:9098
    3Almetyevsk ✔ 5934799215:12391
    4Khimik ✔ 60335715176:12083
    5Ryazan ✔ 60288519157:13677
    6Magnitka Magnitogorsk ✔ 592581016171:13276
    7Chelmet Chelyabinsk59295718172:15675
    8Gornyak59259718176:14275
    9Izhevsk ✔ 59313619152:13274
    10Torpedo Gorky612410621170:13874
    11Omskie Krylia59287420156:12574
    12Dizel60275820149:13672
    13Krasnoyarsk612111821144:14472
    14Perm592112620138:14872
    15CSK VVS59248720160:13971
    16Rubin Tyumen591913720145:13371
    17Bars602351319125:13669
    18Toros Neftekamsk59226823134:14564
    19Zvezda Moscow59235625134:13962
    20Kurgan59207725134:14361
    21Dinamo St. Petersburg59225626152:16060
    22AKM611313827136:16960
    23SKA-VMF St. Petersburg60214827118:15158
    24Tambov60178629144:16756
    25Olympia59149927103:15055
    26Orsk5918392997:15951
    27Buran Voronezh61166732128:17751
    28Kristall Saratov59184631133:16850
    29Dyn. Altay611271131128:19049
    30HK Norilsk60165534117:16347
    31Chelny59128435131:18644
    32HC Rostov60134934117:17643

          Promotion ~ VHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Metallurg Novokuznetsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    HC Yugra is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Almetyevsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Khimik is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Ryazan is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Magnitka Magnitogorsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Izhevsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)