Result
3:1
11/12/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.32 | 2.04 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 22 | 21 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 13.64% (3/22) | 4.76% (1/21) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 17 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 95.24% (20/21) | 90.48% (19/21) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 25% (1/4) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 75% (3/4) | 100% (2/2) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 14 | 33 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 29.79 | 70.21 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 06:12, Lehtonen S. (2 min),
- 09:52, Saarela A. (2 min),
- 15:35, Rafkin R. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (1 - 1)
- 02:25, Heikkinen L. (2 min),
- 06:41, Virtanen J. (2 min),
- 08:24, 0 - 1, Hamalainen S. (G), Ruuttu A. (A), Karki A. (A2)
- 10:49, 1 - 1, Munkki V. (G), Lehtonen S. (A), Saarela A. (A2)
- 11:50, Teshome N. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (2 - 0)
- 09:29, 2 - 1, Pakkila E. (G), Saarela A. (A), Reunanen T. (A2)
- 17:49, 3 - 1, Savinainen V. (G), Wernblom L. (A), Vali N. (A2)
Chances of winning
TPS
46.5% | Draw
24.1% | Mikkelin Jukurit
29.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
TPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Mikkelin Jukurit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for TPS than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mikkelin Jukurit than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
TPS - Mikkelin Jukurit Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.02 ↑
(1.99) |
3.81 ↓
(4) |
3.17 ↓
(3.28) |
7.4%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 4.75
What is the prediction for TPS - Mikkelin Jukurit?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. TPS will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for TPS: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. TPS (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TPS won 1.
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- Recently, Jukurit has had a series of away games.
- TPS could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, TPS won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 48:58. (average 2.4:2.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, TPS won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:21. (average 2.8:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has TPS won against Mikkelin Jukurit?
TPS has won 6 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mikkelin Jukurit won against TPS?
Mikkelin Jukurit has won 9 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between TPS - Mikkelin Jukurit were as follows:
24.10.2025
Mikkelin Jukurit
-
TPS
3:0
04.10.2025
TPS
-
Mikkelin Jukurit
2:3
03.10.2025
Mikkelin Jukurit
-
TPS
2:1
26.02.2025
TPS
-
Mikkelin Jukurit
5:3
21.12.2024
Mikkelin Jukurit
-
TPS
5:4
Latest results of Mikkelin Jukurit
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara ✔ | 57 | 34 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 214:138 | 113 |
| 2 | SaiPa | 58 | 30 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 197:154 | 109 |
| 3 | KooKoo | 57 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 201:148 | 106 |
| 4 | JYP | 57 | 25 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 191:164 | 103 |
| 5 | Ilves | 57 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 175:144 | 101 |
| 6 | Lukko | 57 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 173:145 | 101 |
| 7 | KalPa | 58 | 27 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 174:170 | 100 |
| 8 | Assat ✔ | 57 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 155:156 | 88 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo ✔ | 58 | 21 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 147:155 | 84 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 57 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 130:149 | 80 |
| 11 | IFK Helsinki | 57 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 137:178 | 79 |
| 12 | Hameenlinna | 57 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 138:158 | 72 |
| 13 | TPS Turku | 57 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 134:162 | 71 |
| 14 | Jukurit | 57 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 127:156 | 64 |
| 15 | Karpat | 57 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 167:188 | 63 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 58 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 107:202 | 40 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tappara is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Assat is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Kiekko-Espoo is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
