Algodoneros de Guasave vs Naranjeros de Hermosillo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:11
11/12/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LMP
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoLMP Canal Youtube

Match Stats

Hits
612
Errors
10
2B - double
22
3B - triple
00
Home Runs
00
Runs batted in
511
Left on base
711
Base on Balls
89
Strikeouts
94
Stolen bases
20
At bat
3135
Batting Average
0.1940.343

Chances of winning


Algodoneros de Guasave
43.8%
Naranjeros de Hermosillo
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.1% 56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9% 54.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Algodoneros de Guasave has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • Naranjeros de Hermosillo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Algodoneros de Guasave than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naranjeros de Hermosillo than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • Algodoneros de Guasave - Naranjeros de Hermosillo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.14
    (2.17)

    1.66
    (1.65)
    6.9%
    (6.8%)
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ LMP (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LMP (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Algodoneros won 2.
    • Algodoneros is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Naranjeros is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Algodoneros won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 62:83. (average 3.1:4.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Algodoneros won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:42. (average 4.3:5.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Algodoneros de Guasave - Naranjeros de Hermosillo were as follows:
    10.12.2025 Algodoneros de Guasave - Naranjeros de Hermosillo 4:10
    09.12.2025 Algodoneros de Guasave - Naranjeros de Hermosillo 4:7
    06.11.2025 Naranjeros de Hermosillo - Algodoneros de Guasave 5:8
    05.11.2025 Naranjeros de Hermosillo - Algodoneros de Guasave 1:2
    04.11.2025 Naranjeros de Hermosillo - Algodoneros de Guasave 9:3
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Tomateros (4)Caneros Mochis (5)4 : 3
    2Jaguares de Nayarit (1)Algodoneros (8)1 : 4
    3Hermosillo (3)Jalisco (6)2 : 4
    4Yaquis de Obregon (2)Aguilas de Mexicali (7)0 : 4

    Semi-finals
    1Tomateros (4)Algodoneros (8)4 : 0
    2Jalisco (6)Aguilas de Mexicali (7)4 : 1

    Final
    1Tomateros (4)Jalisco (6)0 : 4