Result
 
                    3:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        10/05/2025 at  20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Division di Honor - Winners stage - Round 10
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
                    
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
								 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
 - 2nd Half (1 - 1)
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Dakota  67.7% | Draw  17.8% | Deportivo Nacional  14.5% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Dakota - Deportivo Nacional Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   1.35 ↓ (1.37) | 
			   5.12 ↑ (4.96) | 
			   6.27 ↑ (5.8) | 
			   9.7% (10.2%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dakota won 3.
 - In recent matches, Dakota has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
 - Deportivo Nacional is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
 - Recently, Deportivo Nacional has had a series of home games.
  - In this match, Dakota is the obvious favorite.
 - In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Dakota won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 27:12. (average 3:1.3).
 - Including home matches between the teams, Dakota won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 2.6:1.8).                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Dakota won against Deportivo Nacional?
                    
                    
                        
                            Dakota has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Nacional won against Dakota?
                    
                    
                        
                             Deportivo Nacional has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Dakota - Deportivo Nacional were as follows:
                                                        
                                29.03.2025 
                                Deportivo Nacional 
                                - 
                                Dakota 
                                0:3
                            
        
                                                        
                                20.10.2024 
                                Dakota 
                                - 
                                Deportivo Nacional 
                                2:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                11.05.2024 
                                Deportivo Nacional 
                                - 
                                Dakota 
                                2:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                03.12.2023 
                                Dakota 
                                - 
                                Deportivo Nacional 
                                3:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                19.05.2023 
                                Deportivo Nacional 
                                - 
                                Dakota 
                                0:5
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Deportivo Nacional                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Aruban Division di Honor Table
2025/26 |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Dakota | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 6 | 
| 2 | Britannia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 6 | 
| 3 | La Fama | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 | 
| 4 | Deportivo Nacional | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 3 | 
| 5 | Racing Club Aruba | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 | 
| 6 | Sporting | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 | 
| 7 | River Plate | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 | 
| 8 | Estrella | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 | 
| 9 | Bubali | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 0 | 
| 10 | Real Koyari | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 | 
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