Result
0:0
19/12/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Kigali 40.4% | Draw 32.6% | Bugesera 27.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kigali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Bugesera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kigali than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bugesera than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Kigali - Bugesera Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.24 ↑ (2.13) |
2.77 ↓ (2.89) |
3.34 ↓ (3.46) |
10.7% (10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kigali won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Kigali may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Kigali will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Kigali won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:7. (average 1.4:0.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kigali won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:2. (average 1.9:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Kigali won against Bugesera?
Kigali has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bugesera won against Kigali?
Bugesera has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kigali - Bugesera were as follows:
08.02.2025
Kigali
-
Bugesera
1:0
07.12.2024
Bugesera
-
Kigali
1:2
13.01.2024
Bugesera
-
Kigali
0:0
21.08.2023
Kigali
-
Bugesera
1:0
28.05.2023
Bugesera
-
Kigali
2:1
Latest results of Bugesera
Rwanda Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al-Hilal Omdurman | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 45:16 | 29 | 42 |
| 2 | APR | 22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 30:17 | 13 | 42 |
| 3 | Al-Merreikh | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 24:14 | 10 | 41 |
| 4 | Police | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 20:11 | 9 | 37 |
| 5 | Rayon Sport | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 27:24 | 3 | 37 |
| 6 | Mukura Victory Sports | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 24:21 | 3 | 34 |
| 7 | Kiyovu | 21 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 21:12 | 9 | 33 |
| 8 | Musanze | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 33 |
| 9 | Marines | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 25:24 | 1 | 28 |
| 10 | Bugesera | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 20:22 | -2 | 25 |
| 11 | Gicumbi | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 26:33 | -7 | 25 |
| 12 | Gasogi United | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 17:26 | -9 | 25 |
| 13 | AS Kigali | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 15:21 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Gorilla | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 15:25 | -10 | 22 |
| 15 | Etincelles | 22 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 16:25 | -9 | 19 |
| 16 | Rutsiro | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 24:33 | -9 | 18 |
| 17 | Amagaju | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 9:27 | -18 | 18 |
| 18 | Muhanga | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 13:28 | -15 | 17 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation