Result
1:0
03/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 41
- Referee: Drysdale D. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 3.04 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (158/268) | 66% (224/338) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 3.04 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.18 | 0.93 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (158/268) | 66% (224/338) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (34/88) | 26% (18/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 44% (38/87) | 48% (57/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 32% (6/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 1.35 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 39 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 85% (11/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.93 | -0.82 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 26', Rooney S. 🟨,
- 40', Balmer K. 🟨,
- 42', Ennis E. (Penalty Awarded),
- 45+2', Neal H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Mola C. ↓, De Havilland R. ↑,
- 53', Harrison E. ↓, Quigley J. ↑,
- 54', Kilgour A. ↓, Leigh T. ↑,
- 54', Rijks M. ↓, Akhamrich Y. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 0, Quigley J. ⚽, Sparkes J. (A),
- 67', Davies W. ↓, Coughlan R. ↑,
- 67', Bonds E. ↓, Davies J. ↑,
- 69', Young B. 🟨,
- 77', Forde S. 🟨,
- 83', Evans C. ↓, Osong D. E. ↑,
- 83', Forde S. ↓, Thompson-Sommers K. ↑,
- 84', Lynch J. 🟨,
- 88', Rooney S. ↓, Devonport O. ↑,
- 90', Leigh T. 🟨,
- 90+6', Davies J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bristol Rovers
41.3% | Draw
29.3% | Fleetwood Town
29.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Fleetwood Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)The ML Model estimate for Bristol Rovers aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Bristol Rovers - Fleetwood Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↓
(2.32) |
3.17 ↓
(3.32) |
3.15 ↑
(2.9) |
7.1%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Bristol Rovers - Fleetwood Town?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Fleetwood will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bristol Rovers: 21.7% – 78.3%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 16 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 1.
- Bristol Rovers is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Fleetwood has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Bristol Rovers could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Omochere P.
(Inactive)
Southam-Hales M.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Fleetwood: Hume D.
(Head Injury)
McCann L.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: McEachran J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Fleetwood: Bolton J.
(Inactive)
Coughlan R.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Mullarkey T.
(Inactive)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:25. (average 1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bristol Rovers won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.2:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Bristol Rovers won against Fleetwood Town?
Bristol Rovers has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fleetwood Town won against Bristol Rovers?
Fleetwood Town has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol Rovers - Fleetwood Town were as follows:
09.08.2025
Fleetwood Town
-
Bristol Rovers
2:1
12.03.2024
Fleetwood Town
-
Bristol Rovers
0:0
06.02.2024
Bristol Rovers
-
Fleetwood Town
0:2
10.04.2023
Fleetwood Town
-
Bristol Rovers
1:2
12.11.2022
Bristol Rovers
-
Fleetwood Town
2:2
Latest results of Bristol Rovers
Latest results of Fleetwood Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 43 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 68:43 | 25 | 83 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 43 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 79:43 | 36 | 79 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 42 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 62:31 | 31 | 77 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 43 | 23 | 7 | 13 | 71:49 | 22 | 76 |
| 5 | Swindon | 43 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 67:51 | 16 | 74 |
| 6 | Salford | 43 | 23 | 5 | 15 | 57:50 | 7 | 74 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 64:53 | 11 | 69 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 41 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 62:45 | 17 | 68 |
| 9 | Barnet | 43 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 60:49 | 11 | 67 |
| 10 | Crewe | 43 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 63:53 | 10 | 66 |
| 11 | Oldham | 42 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 52:36 | 16 | 65 |
| 12 | Walsall | 43 | 17 | 11 | 15 | 52:50 | 2 | 62 |
| 13 | Colchester | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 56:45 | 11 | 60 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 53:54 | -1 | 58 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 43 | 17 | 4 | 22 | 49:63 | -14 | 55 |
| 16 | Accrington | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 41:48 | -7 | 51 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 48:60 | -12 | 50 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 43 | 13 | 8 | 22 | 40:66 | -26 | 47 |
| 19 | Cheltenham | 41 | 12 | 10 | 19 | 48:67 | -19 | 46 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 49:72 | -23 | 37 |
| 21 | Crawley | 43 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 41:65 | -24 | 37 |
| 22 | Newport | 43 | 10 | 7 | 26 | 43:73 | -30 | 37 |
| 23 | Barrow | 42 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 40:68 | -28 | 33 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 43 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 35:66 | -31 | 33 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
